Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/5 Game 2
Rumi Nikaido finished 1st (+98.5pt). The game was decided in East 2: Rumi Nikaido tsumo 48,000, which moved Rumi Nikaido's expected points by +80.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Rumi Nikaido ron 8,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 26% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -22.5 | +20.0 | +2.0 | +0.6 |
| East 2 | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 48,000 | 12% | 39% | 23% | 26% | -23.7 | +80.0 | -27.1 | -29.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 99% | 1% | 1% | -2.8 | -3.1 | +2.8 | +3.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 98% | 1% | 1% | +2.8 | -0.6 | +1.4 | -3.5 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 1,000 from Shingo Hori | 0% | 98% | 1% | 1% | +4.0 | +1.1 | -0.3 | -4.7 |
| East 4 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | +16.0 | -0.1 | -16.2 | +0.3 |
| South 1 | Rumi Nikaido ron 2,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 0% | 99% | 0% | 0% | +1.8 | +3.4 | -7.5 | +2.3 |
| South 2 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -3.7 | -3.4 | +13.0 | -5.8 |
| South 3 | Rumi Nikaido ron 2,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | +6.1 | +2.3 | -7.8 | -0.5 |
| South 4 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | +13.4 | -1.1 | -13.4 | +1.2 |