Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/5 Game 2
Nikaido Rumi finished 1st (+98.5pt). The game was decided in East 2: Nikaido Rumi tsumo 48,000, which moved Nikaido Rumi's expected points by +79.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Rumi ron 8,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 26% | 23% | 26% | 24% | -24.0 | +22.4 | -0.5 | +2.1 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 48,000 | 11% | 40% | 24% | 26% | -23.5 | +79.2 | -27.3 | -28.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 98% | 1% | 1% | -2.6 | -2.2 | +1.8 | +3.0 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 0% | 99% | 1% | 1% | +2.7 | -2.3 | +3.5 | -3.9 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 1,000 from Hori Shingo | 0% | 98% | 1% | 1% | +3.9 | +0.9 | -1.6 | -3.3 |
| East 4 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | +17.5 | +1.5 | -16.7 | -2.4 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Rumi ron 2,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 0% | 99% | 0% | 0% | +1.3 | +3.0 | -6.1 | +1.9 |
| South 2 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -4.1 | -4.1 | +12.7 | -4.5 |
| South 3 | Nikaido Rumi ron 2,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | +6.5 | +2.5 | -8.3 | -0.7 |
| South 4 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | +13.0 | -1.0 | -13.3 | +1.3 |