Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/6 Game 2
Suzuki Yu finished 1st (+55.2pt). The game was decided in South 2: Suzuki Yu tsumo 8,000, which moved Suzuki Yu's expected points by +32.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Yu ron 3,900 from Honda Tomohiro | 26% | 23% | 24% | 27% | -2.9 | -1.3 | +14.3 | -10.2 |
| East 2 | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 22% | 24% | 36% | 19% | +24.0 | -4.5 | -0.7 | -18.8 |
| East 3 | Honda Tomohiro ron 2,600 from Suzuki Yu | 40% | 17% | 32% | 11% | +1.5 | +3.4 | -9.4 | +4.6 |
| East 4 | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 1,300 from Takizawa Kazunori | 43% | 20% | 25% | 13% | +9.0 | -5.8 | +3.6 | -6.9 |
| South 1 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 2,700 | 52% | 15% | 25% | 8% | -4.2 | +12.9 | -6.0 | -2.7 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 8,000 | 48% | 23% | 21% | 8% | -9.5 | -17.3 | +32.2 | -5.4 |
| South 3 | Draw | 33% | 8% | 54% | 6% | -0.9 | -2.6 | +2.8 | +0.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 18,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 28% | 5% | 61% | 6% | -62.9 | -1.5 | +0.5 | +63.9 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 1,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 0% | 3% | 62% | 35% | -4.5 | -0.2 | +18.4 | -13.7 |