Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2024-25 Regular Season

12/6 Game 2

Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+55.2pt). The game was decided in South 2: Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +32.6.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Yu Suzuki● Masatoshi Sarukawa● Kazunori Takizawa● Tomohiro Honda0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Yu● Masatoshi● Kazunori● Tomohiro
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultMasatoshi Sarukawa
1st-place chance
Kazunori Takizawa
1st-place chance
Yu Suzuki
1st-place chance
Tomohiro Honda
1st-place chance
Masatoshi Sarukawa
Expected pt change
Kazunori Takizawa
Expected pt change
Yu Suzuki
Expected pt change
Tomohiro Honda
Expected pt change
East 1Yu Suzuki ron 3,900 from Tomohiro Honda25%24%25%26%-1.2-4.3+13.0-7.5
East 2Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda25%22%34%19%+20.1-2.5+1.5-19.1
East 3Tomohiro Honda ron 2,600 from Yu Suzuki38%17%34%11%+4.6+0.6-8.4+3.3
East 4Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 1,300 from Kazunori Takizawa44%18%26%12%+7.2-1.1+0.1-6.2
South 1Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 2,70052%17%24%7%-2.5+9.5-4.3-2.7
South 2Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,00051%21%21%7%-10.6-16.9+32.6-5.1
South 3Exhaustive draw33%7%55%5%-0.6-3.1+3.2+0.6
South 4, 1 honbaTomohiro Honda ron 18,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa29%4%62%5%-63.4-0.2-0.2+63.9
South 4, 2 honbaYu Suzuki ron 1,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa0%2%63%35%-4.3-0.1+18.2-13.8

All 2024-25 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)