Game · 2024-25 Regular Season

12/9 Game 1

Takeuchi Genta finished 1st (+52.5pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Takeuchi Genta ron 12,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro, which moved Takeuchi Genta's expected points by +34.1.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance	Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance	Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance	Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance	Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change	Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change	Suzuki Taro Expected pt change	Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change
East 1	Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 4,000	26%	24%	25%	25%	-9.4	-0.7	-1.7	+11.8
East 2	Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,000	20%	23%	23%	34%	-9.7	+32.4	-10.0	-12.7
East 2, 1 honba	Takeuchi Genta ron 5,200 from Suzuki Taro	13%	47%	17%	23%	+20.9	-2.9	-17.5	-0.5
East 3	Suzuki Taro ron 2,900 from Uchikawa Kotaro	23%	45%	9%	23%	-0.7	+0.4	+8.9	-8.5
East 3, 1 honba	Hagiwara Masato tsumo 1,100	24%	46%	13%	17%	+0.2	+7.1	-7.3	0.0
East 4	Draw	22%	53%	8%	17%	+1.3	+6.0	+3.0	-10.4
South 1, 1 honba	Takeuchi Genta ron 12,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro	20%	61%	8%	10%	+34.1	-9.3	+2.0	-26.7
South 1, 2 honba	Takeuchi Genta ron 2,900 from Hagiwara Masato	52%	40%	6%	3%	+9.5	-8.7	+0.3	-1.1
South 1, 3 honba	Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000	63%	29%	5%	2%	-9.8	-4.3	-11.8	+26.0
South 2	Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000	59%	29%	4%	7%	+0.1	-14.5	-7.4	+21.8
South 3	Takeuchi Genta tsumo 5,200	62%	16%	4%	18%	+17.6	-1.6	-9.4	-6.6
South 4	Uchikawa Kotaro ron 5,800 from Hagiwara Masato	88%	4%	0%	8%	-0.6	-21.4	+1.0	+21.1
South 4, 1 honba	Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Takeuchi Genta	86%	1%	0%	13%	-2.6	+29.5	-1.3	-25.7

All 2024-25 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)