Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/9 Game 1
Genta Takeuchi finished 1st (+52.5pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Genta Takeuchi ron 12,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa, which moved Genta Takeuchi's expected points by +32.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 4,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -8.0 | -2.5 | -1.8 | +12.3 |
| East 2 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 24% | 24% | 33% | -9.1 | +33.3 | -11.0 | -13.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Genta Takeuchi ron 5,200 from Taro Suzuki | 12% | 49% | 17% | 22% | +19.9 | -4.7 | -15.5 | +0.3 |
| East 3 | Taro Suzuki ron 2,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 24% | 44% | 10% | 22% | -0.2 | +1.1 | +6.9 | -7.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 1,100 | 23% | 46% | 13% | 19% | +0.4 | +7.0 | -6.3 | -1.0 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 53% | 7% | 17% | +2.7 | +6.9 | +2.4 | -12.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Genta Takeuchi ron 12,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 22% | 63% | 7% | 9% | +32.6 | -8.4 | +2.5 | -26.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Genta Takeuchi ron 2,900 from Masato Hagiwara | 50% | 42% | 6% | 2% | +9.5 | -9.5 | +0.7 | -0.7 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000 | 64% | 30% | 5% | 1% | -9.7 | -5.8 | -12.2 | +27.6 |
| South 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000 | 59% | 28% | 4% | 8% | +0.5 | -14.0 | -6.8 | +20.2 |
| South 3 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 5,200 | 64% | 16% | 4% | 17% | +16.4 | -1.8 | -9.8 | -4.8 |
| South 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 5,800 from Masato Hagiwara | 87% | 4% | 0% | 9% | -0.7 | -20.7 | +0.4 | +21.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Genta Takeuchi | 85% | 1% | 0% | 15% | -1.6 | +29.0 | -0.8 | -26.6 |