Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/9 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+80.8pt). The game was decided in South 2: Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +34.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 1,100 | 27% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -4.9 | +0.9 | +1.3 | +2.7 |
| East 2 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 2,600 from Hori Shingo | 22% | 25% | 25% | 28% | +2.1 | -4.0 | -8.0 | +9.8 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Kayamori Sayaka | 23% | 21% | 20% | 36% | -3.2 | +15.7 | 0.0 | -12.5 |
| East 4 | Draw | 21% | 32% | 20% | 27% | -3.2 | +6.3 | -6.6 | +3.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 1,300 from Kurosawa Saki | 20% | 39% | 15% | 27% | -8.9 | 0.0 | +11.7 | -2.9 |
| South 1 | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 14% | 39% | 23% | 25% | -25.6 | -0.3 | +29.9 | -3.9 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 34% | 46% | 19% | -6.7 | +34.2 | -16.4 | -11.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 0% | 73% | 19% | 8% | -11.9 | -3.8 | +16.0 | -0.4 |
| South 3 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 16,000 | 0% | 66% | 28% | 6% | -3.9 | +31.6 | -21.4 | -6.4 |
| South 4 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 6,000 | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | -3.2 | -2.6 | -4.5 | +10.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 5,800 from Kurosawa Saki | 0% | 98% | 0% | 2% | -6.9 | -0.9 | -11.2 | +18.9 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 96% | 0% | 4% | -0.6 | +4.9 | -4.9 | +0.6 |