Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/9 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+80.8pt). The game was decided in South 2: Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +35.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 1,100 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 27% | -2.0 | +0.6 | -0.5 | +1.9 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 2,600 from Shingo Hori | 23% | 23% | 25% | 28% | +2.9 | -1.3 | -8.5 | +6.9 |
| East 3 | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Sayaka Kayamori | 25% | 22% | 20% | 33% | -4.8 | +16.3 | -2.2 | -9.2 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 35% | 17% | 27% | -5.9 | +5.8 | -3.0 | +3.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 1,300 from Saki Kurosawa | 17% | 39% | 16% | 28% | -6.3 | -0.2 | +10.1 | -3.7 |
| South 1 | Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 14% | 40% | 21% | 25% | -26.2 | -1.5 | +30.6 | -2.9 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 33% | 45% | 20% | -6.1 | +35.1 | -18.2 | -10.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 0% | 75% | 17% | 8% | -11.5 | -3.8 | +18.2 | -2.9 |
| South 3 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 16,000 | 0% | 68% | 28% | 5% | -3.9 | +30.6 | -22.1 | -4.5 |
| South 4 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 6,000 | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | -3.0 | -2.1 | -4.5 | +9.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 5,800 from Saki Kurosawa | 0% | 98% | 0% | 2% | -7.6 | -1.0 | -10.7 | +19.2 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 96% | 0% | 4% | -0.2 | +4.6 | -4.9 | +0.6 |