Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/10 Game 1
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+73.2pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Mizuhara Akina ron 12,000 from Nikaido Aki, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +45.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 25% | 25% | 26% | 24% | -0.2 | -0.3 | -20.7 | +21.1 |
| East 2 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 7,800 | 24% | 24% | 14% | 39% | -11.2 | +22.5 | -3.7 | -7.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 40% | 12% | 33% | -4.1 | -22.0 | -9.8 | +35.9 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 18% | 6% | 65% | +18.5 | -4.1 | -12.3 | -2.0 |
| East 4 | Draw | 18% | 14% | 4% | 64% | +3.7 | -3.6 | -2.8 | +2.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 2,700 | 19% | 12% | 2% | 66% | +0.5 | -5.0 | +6.4 | -1.8 |
| South 1 | Draw | 20% | 10% | 3% | 68% | +5.2 | -1.7 | -0.2 | -3.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 24% | 10% | 4% | 63% | -9.6 | +23.1 | -15.2 | +1.7 |
| South 2 | Mizuhara Akina ron 1,500 from Ooi Takaharu | 14% | 20% | 1% | 65% | -0.8 | +3.4 | -2.6 | -0.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 12,000 from Nikaido Aki | 13% | 21% | 1% | 64% | -2.1 | +45.2 | -1.0 | -42.2 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 9% | 79% | 1% | 12% | -3.5 | +1.6 | -0.9 | +2.8 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Draw | 6% | 80% | 1% | 13% | +5.3 | +0.3 | -1.4 | -4.3 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 1,000 from Nikaido Aki | 7% | 83% | 0% | 10% | -0.2 | +11.0 | -2.9 | -8.0 |
| South 4 | Mizuhara Akina ron 1,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 1% | 96% | 0% | 3% | +5.9 | +2.9 | -0.3 | -8.4 |