Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/10 Game 1
Akina Mizuhara finished 1st (+73.2pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Akina Mizuhara ron 12,000 from Aki Nikaido, which moved Akina Mizuhara's expected points by +43.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -2.0 | +0.6 | -21.0 | +22.5 |
| East 2 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 7,800 | 21% | 24% | 14% | 41% | -7.4 | +21.8 | -6.6 | -7.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 40% | 10% | 33% | -7.0 | -20.1 | -8.1 | +35.2 |
| East 3 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 17% | 6% | 67% | +19.6 | -5.6 | -11.6 | -2.5 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 14% | 3% | 64% | +3.2 | -4.1 | -1.8 | +2.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 2,700 | 18% | 12% | 3% | 67% | +0.1 | -3.4 | +5.5 | -2.2 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 10% | 4% | 67% | +5.2 | -1.2 | -1.2 | -2.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 23% | 10% | 3% | 64% | -8.2 | +21.8 | -14.6 | +1.0 |
| South 2 | Akina Mizuhara ron 1,500 from Takaharu Ooi | 16% | 20% | 1% | 63% | -1.6 | +4.3 | -1.5 | -1.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 12,000 from Aki Nikaido | 14% | 23% | 1% | 62% | -3.8 | +43.7 | -1.3 | -38.5 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 78% | 1% | 14% | -2.5 | +2.0 | -1.1 | +1.6 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 80% | 1% | 13% | +5.1 | +1.2 | -2.1 | -4.3 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 1,000 from Aki Nikaido | 6% | 84% | 0% | 9% | +0.7 | +9.6 | -2.2 | -8.1 |
| South 4 | Akina Mizuhara ron 1,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 0% | 95% | 0% | 4% | +5.9 | +3.4 | -0.4 | -8.9 |