Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/10 Game 2
Aiko Hinata finished 1st (+70.0pt). The game was decided in East 2: Aiko Hinata ron 12,000 from Hiroe Sugawara, which moved Aiko Hinata's expected points by +31.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Hiroe Sugawara 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Hiroe Sugawara Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hiroe Sugawara ron 2,600 from Rumi Nikaido | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | -10.5 | +1.1 | +7.1 | +2.3 |
| East 2 | Aiko Hinata ron 12,000 from Hiroe Sugawara | 18% | 26% | 30% | 26% | +2.9 | +31.8 | -33.3 | -1.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Rumi Nikaido ron 2,000 from Aiko Hinata | 16% | 51% | 10% | 22% | +5.4 | -5.6 | +0.1 | +0.1 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 46% | 11% | 23% | +4.5 | -3.7 | +1.6 | -2.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 42% | 12% | 22% | +36.6 | -10.4 | -17.6 | -8.7 |
| East 4 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 8,000 | 57% | 27% | 4% | 13% | -7.6 | +22.4 | -3.6 | -11.2 |
| South 1 | Hiroe Sugawara ron 8,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 42% | 49% | 2% | 7% | -21.5 | +7.9 | +17.6 | -4.1 |
| South 2 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 2,700 | 21% | 66% | 6% | 6% | -0.2 | -1.6 | -6.6 | +8.4 |
| South 3 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 67% | 5% | 9% | -7.0 | +22.2 | -12.5 | -2.7 |
| South 4 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 6,000 | 1% | 96% | 0% | 3% | -8.0 | -3.1 | -5.6 | +16.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 92% | 0% | 7% | +1.0 | +0.1 | -3.4 | +2.3 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Aiko Hinata ron 2,600 from Hiroe Sugawara | 1% | 91% | 0% | 8% | -10.8 | +8.6 | -4.0 | +6.2 |