Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/10 Game 2
Hinata Aiko finished 1st (+70.0pt). The game was decided in East 2: Hinata Aiko ron 12,000 from Sugawara Hiroe, which moved Hinata Aiko's expected points by +33.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Sugawara Hiroe 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Sugawara Hiroe Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sugawara Hiroe ron 2,600 from Nikaido Rumi | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -8.8 | +1.6 | +9.1 | -2.0 |
| East 2 | Hinata Aiko ron 12,000 from Sugawara Hiroe | 20% | 26% | 30% | 24% | -0.8 | +33.3 | -33.5 | +1.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi ron 2,000 from Hinata Aiko | 16% | 51% | 11% | 22% | +5.2 | -6.1 | -2.4 | +3.3 |
| East 3 | Draw | 19% | 45% | 10% | 26% | +2.3 | -4.1 | +5.8 | -4.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 42% | 14% | 23% | +39.4 | -9.4 | -19.7 | -10.3 |
| East 4 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 8,000 | 54% | 28% | 4% | 14% | -8.7 | +23.2 | -3.5 | -11.0 |
| South 1 | Sugawara Hiroe ron 8,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 41% | 50% | 3% | 7% | -19.9 | +6.4 | +15.2 | -1.7 |
| South 2 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 2,700 | 21% | 65% | 6% | 8% | -0.7 | -0.8 | -5.2 | +6.6 |
| South 3 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 68% | 5% | 9% | -7.1 | +22.0 | -12.2 | -2.7 |
| South 4 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 6,000 | 1% | 96% | 0% | 3% | -7.7 | -3.1 | -5.5 | +16.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 1% | 93% | 0% | 6% | +0.8 | +0.5 | -3.7 | +2.5 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 2,600 from Sugawara Hiroe | 1% | 92% | 0% | 8% | -10.4 | +8.0 | -3.7 | +6.1 |