Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/12 Game 1
Watanabe Futoshi finished 1st (+61.7pt). The game was decided in South 2: Watanabe Futoshi ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka, which moved Watanabe Futoshi's expected points by +34.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Sugawara Hiroe 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Sugawara Hiroe Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 1,100 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -5.4 | -5.0 | +10.2 | +0.2 |
| East 2 | Draw | 21% | 23% | 31% | 25% | +3.7 | +3.5 | -4.0 | -3.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 23% | 24% | 29% | 23% | +7.1 | -2.4 | -4.4 | -0.2 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 1,100 | 29% | 22% | 26% | 23% | -0.6 | +6.7 | -3.3 | -2.8 |
| East 4 | Sugawara Hiroe tsumo 6,000 | 28% | 28% | 23% | 21% | -7.8 | -4.6 | -4.5 | +16.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 6,400 from Honda Tomohiro | 23% | 24% | 20% | 33% | +22.6 | -20.3 | -1.1 | -1.3 |
| South 1 | Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka | 40% | 11% | 19% | 30% | -0.8 | +27.4 | -26.6 | 0.0 |
| South 2 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka | 38% | 27% | 7% | 28% | +34.8 | -9.1 | -20.1 | -5.6 |
| South 3 | Honda Tomohiro ron 6,400 from Okada Sayaka | 81% | 6% | 1% | 12% | +1.5 | +15.5 | -10.8 | -6.2 |
| South 4 | Sugawara Hiroe tsumo 3,000 | 83% | 8% | 0% | 9% | -2.5 | -2.2 | -0.8 | +5.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 1,500 | 79% | 9% | 0% | 12% | +8.5 | +4.2 | +0.1 | -12.8 |