Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/12 Game 2
Shibukawa Namba finished 1st (+53.9pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Shibukawa Namba tsumo 12,000, which moved Shibukawa Namba's expected points by +38.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nakada Kana tsumo 2,000 | 25% | 24% | 26% | 26% | -5.8 | -0.1 | +6.4 | -0.5 |
| East 2 | Nakada Kana tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 24% | 30% | 26% | -4.8 | -18.2 | +33.9 | -10.9 |
| East 3 | Draw | 15% | 10% | 60% | 15% | -2.3 | -2.0 | +5.6 | -1.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 9% | 65% | 14% | -10.1 | +38.6 | -19.2 | -9.3 |
| East 4 | Shibukawa Namba ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 10% | 35% | 44% | 11% | -10.2 | +12.0 | +2.1 | -3.9 |
| South 1 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 44% | 43% | 7% | +28.6 | -10.2 | -7.8 | -10.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 18% | 37% | 40% | 5% | +6.9 | -5.9 | -4.8 | +3.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Draw | 24% | 32% | 36% | 8% | -7.3 | +0.3 | +9.6 | -2.6 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Draw | 17% | 30% | 46% | 7% | -2.7 | +8.0 | -2.6 | -2.7 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 1,300 from Nakada Kana | 14% | 39% | 41% | 6% | +19.8 | -1.1 | -14.8 | -4.0 |
| South 3 | Nakada Kana ron 5,800 from Suzuki Taro | 29% | 39% | 27% | 5% | -4.8 | -8.5 | +25.0 | -11.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nakada Kana ron 2,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 21% | 25% | 52% | 1% | -9.4 | -1.2 | +8.7 | +2.0 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 5,200 | 12% | 21% | 64% | 2% | -8.0 | +28.3 | -17.0 | -3.2 |
| South 4 | Draw | 5% | 59% | 35% | 1% | -0.7 | -2.6 | +0.4 | +2.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 55% | 37% | 2% | +24.9 | +17.6 | -34.0 | -8.5 |