Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/13 Game 1
Takeuchi Genta finished 1st (+58.2pt). The game was decided in East 2: Takeuchi Genta tsumo 12,000, which moved Takeuchi Genta's expected points by +38.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 23% | 26% | 25% | 26% | +4.9 | -3.5 | -4.4 | +3.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Takeuchi Genta | 27% | 23% | 22% | 28% | -25.6 | -1.5 | +1.2 | +25.9 |
| East 2 | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 20% | 21% | 48% | +38.0 | -21.0 | -8.1 | -8.9 |
| East 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 1,500 from Takeuchi Genta | 34% | 10% | 17% | 39% | -3.6 | -0.1 | +4.0 | -0.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 30% | 10% | 20% | 40% | +2.5 | +25.3 | -2.1 | -25.7 |
| East 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 35% | 24% | 19% | 22% | +0.5 | +0.5 | +24.7 | -25.8 |
| South 1 | Takeuchi Genta ron 7,700 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 34% | 23% | 35% | 8% | +22.6 | 0.0 | -23.1 | +0.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 58% | 19% | 16% | 6% | +1.1 | +2.4 | -3.0 | -0.5 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 59% | 20% | 15% | 7% | -0.8 | -25.6 | +30.2 | -3.8 |
| South 2 | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 2,000 | 57% | 7% | 32% | 4% | +12.4 | -7.9 | -4.4 | -0.1 |
| South 3 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 2,700 | 77% | 1% | 19% | 3% | +4.6 | -2.8 | -7.0 | +5.2 |
| South 4 | Draw | 89% | 0% | 7% | 4% | -1.7 | +2.3 | -4.0 | +3.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei ron 2,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 89% | 0% | 5% | 6% | +5.1 | +10.6 | +1.3 | -16.9 |