Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/13 Game 1
Genta Takeuchi finished 1st (+58.2pt). The game was decided in East 2: Genta Takeuchi tsumo 12,000, which moved Genta Takeuchi's expected points by +41.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +4.5 | -3.8 | -4.0 | +3.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Genta Takeuchi | 29% | 23% | 22% | 26% | -29.2 | +1.6 | +0.5 | +27.1 |
| East 2 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 12,000 | 10% | 21% | 21% | 48% | +41.2 | -22.4 | -9.0 | -9.8 |
| East 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 1,500 from Genta Takeuchi | 35% | 10% | 16% | 38% | -4.1 | +0.9 | +3.4 | -0.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kei Nakabayashi ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 33% | 10% | 18% | 38% | +1.5 | +24.2 | -2.1 | -23.6 |
| East 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 36% | 23% | 17% | 23% | -1.2 | +0.7 | +25.8 | -25.4 |
| South 1 | Genta Takeuchi ron 7,700 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 32% | 24% | 35% | 9% | +24.1 | -0.2 | -24.5 | +0.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 58% | 20% | 14% | 8% | +0.2 | +1.0 | +0.4 | -1.6 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 57% | 21% | 15% | 7% | -0.7 | -25.4 | +28.5 | -2.4 |
| South 2 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 2,000 | 57% | 7% | 31% | 5% | +13.6 | -6.9 | -4.9 | -1.8 |
| South 3 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 2,700 | 78% | 1% | 18% | 3% | +4.4 | -2.8 | -5.9 | +4.3 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 89% | 0% | 7% | 4% | -1.9 | +3.0 | -3.8 | +2.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kei Nakabayashi ron 2,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 88% | 1% | 5% | 6% | +5.3 | +9.4 | +0.7 | -15.4 |