Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/13 Game 2
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+55.7pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +56.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Asai Takaki 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Asai Takaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shiratori Sho ron 1,500 from Sasaki Hisato | 25% | 26% | 26% | 24% | +4.7 | -4.1 | -1.5 | +1.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 30% | 22% | 24% | 24% | +3.1 | +2.5 | -1.6 | -3.9 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Asai Takaki ron 5,200 from Shiratori Sho | 31% | 23% | 24% | 22% | -19.3 | -0.7 | -4.5 | +24.6 |
| East 2 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 5,200 | 16% | 22% | 20% | 42% | +14.8 | -9.1 | -2.9 | -2.9 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Yu ron 2,000 from Shiratori Sho | 26% | 17% | 19% | 38% | -4.6 | -1.4 | +5.4 | +0.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 24% | 16% | 21% | 40% | +1.7 | -2.9 | +3.6 | -2.3 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 24% | 14% | 24% | 38% | +3.0 | -5.1 | +1.0 | +1.1 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Draw | 25% | 13% | 25% | 37% | -1.6 | -1.2 | -4.1 | +6.9 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 1,100 | 24% | 12% | 19% | 44% | -5.4 | +19.9 | -6.2 | -8.3 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 2,700 | 22% | 22% | 18% | 38% | -5.0 | -5.2 | +10.1 | 0.0 |
| South 2 | Asai Takaki ron 1,000 from Suzuki Yu | 18% | 20% | 24% | 38% | -0.5 | -2.2 | -6.1 | +8.8 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Yu ron 12,000 from Asai Takaki | 18% | 16% | 20% | 47% | -1.7 | +0.7 | +50.2 | -49.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000 | 8% | 10% | 72% | 10% | +56.9 | -12.3 | -32.6 | -12.0 |
| South 4 | Asai Takaki tsumo 1,500 | 79% | 2% | 14% | 5% | +0.4 | -0.1 | -1.5 | +1.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 5,200 from Asai Takaki | 80% | 2% | 13% | 6% | +9.3 | +6.7 | -0.5 | -15.5 |