Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/13 Game 2
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+55.7pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +56.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Takaki Asai 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Takaki Asai Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori ron 1,500 from Hisato Sasaki | 23% | 25% | 27% | 26% | +5.3 | -4.0 | -0.6 | -0.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 22% | 25% | 27% | +4.7 | +5.0 | -4.4 | -5.3 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Takaki Asai ron 5,200 from Sho Shiratori | 30% | 25% | 23% | 22% | -19.0 | -1.6 | -3.8 | +24.4 |
| East 2 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 5,200 | 17% | 24% | 19% | 40% | +12.8 | -9.1 | -2.1 | -1.7 |
| East 3 | Yu Suzuki ron 2,000 from Sho Shiratori | 23% | 18% | 20% | 40% | -3.3 | -0.6 | +3.5 | +0.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 17% | 20% | 40% | +3.1 | -5.2 | +5.0 | -2.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 14% | 25% | 37% | +3.5 | -3.6 | -0.2 | +0.3 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 14% | 23% | 36% | -1.8 | -1.7 | -3.0 | +6.5 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 1,100 | 25% | 12% | 21% | 42% | -5.8 | +19.2 | -5.0 | -8.4 |
| South 1 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 2,700 | 23% | 23% | 19% | 36% | -7.3 | -4.6 | +8.8 | +3.0 |
| South 2 | Takaki Asai ron 1,000 from Yu Suzuki | 16% | 20% | 24% | 40% | +1.5 | -2.1 | -5.9 | +6.5 |
| South 3 | Yu Suzuki ron 12,000 from Takaki Asai | 17% | 17% | 20% | 47% | +0.1 | -0.1 | +48.9 | -48.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 10% | 70% | 8% | +56.2 | -11.8 | -31.4 | -13.1 |
| South 4 | Takaki Asai tsumo 1,500 | 80% | 2% | 14% | 4% | -1.5 | -1.5 | -1.9 | +4.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 5,200 from Takaki Asai | 78% | 2% | 13% | 7% | +9.9 | +7.8 | -0.2 | -17.5 |