Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/16 Game 1
Takeuchi Genta finished 1st (+57.7pt). The game was decided in South 2: Takeuchi Genta tsumo 12,000, which moved Takeuchi Genta's expected points by +36.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change | Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 23% | 25% | 26% | +32.4 | -10.4 | -12.0 | -10.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 3,900 from Shibukawa Namba | 51% | 16% | 16% | 17% | +0.3 | +1.5 | -11.5 | +9.8 |
| East 2 | Draw | 51% | 18% | 10% | 22% | -4.2 | +6.4 | -0.2 | -2.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Takeuchi Genta ron 2,900 from Shibukawa Namba | 47% | 19% | 13% | 21% | -2.1 | +7.1 | -6.6 | +1.7 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 8,000 | 44% | 24% | 9% | 23% | -2.4 | -13.2 | -5.3 | +20.9 |
| East 3 | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 8,000 | 41% | 14% | 8% | 38% | -5.6 | +25.2 | -14.2 | -5.4 |
| East 4 | Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 2,000 | 34% | 31% | 3% | 32% | +8.6 | -0.4 | -2.8 | -5.5 |
| South 1 | Takeuchi Genta ron 1,300 from Matsugase Takaya | 43% | 30% | 2% | 25% | -3.7 | +8.1 | -0.9 | -3.4 |
| South 2 | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 12,000 | 39% | 36% | 2% | 23% | -16.1 | +36.6 | -7.1 | -13.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 4,000 | 11% | 81% | 0% | 7% | -1.4 | -1.5 | +5.4 | -2.4 |
| South 3 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 24,000 | 8% | 85% | 1% | 6% | -19.0 | -14.2 | +55.2 | -22.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Shibukawa Namba ron 4,800 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 8% | 72% | 15% | 5% | -16.6 | -1.3 | +14.6 | +3.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 8,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 2% | 68% | 23% | 6% | +32.1 | +8.8 | -34.3 | -6.6 |
| South 4 | Shibukawa Namba ron 1,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 7% | 87% | 2% | 4% | +1.6 | +6.1 | +3.5 | -11.2 |