Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/16 Game 2
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+61.7pt). The game was decided in South 1: Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +33.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 4,800 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | +9.9 | -14.3 | +0.9 | +3.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 12,000 | 32% | 17% | 25% | 26% | +31.5 | -8.7 | -10.3 | -12.5 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 5,800 from Kenji Katsumata | 58% | 11% | 15% | 16% | +13.2 | +1.7 | -15.5 | +0.7 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 12,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 70% | 8% | 8% | 14% | -1.2 | +26.0 | -24.2 | -0.6 |
| East 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 3,000 | 68% | 18% | 2% | 12% | -3.9 | +9.4 | -2.2 | -3.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 1,300 from Kenji Katsumata | 62% | 25% | 3% | 10% | +5.9 | -2.0 | -4.2 | +0.2 |
| East 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 70% | 20% | 2% | 9% | +2.1 | +2.8 | -2.3 | -2.6 |
| East 4 | Kenji Katsumata ron 5,200 from Hiroshi Daigo | 73% | 19% | 1% | 7% | -8.7 | +2.7 | +7.1 | -1.1 |
| South 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000 | 65% | 26% | 2% | 7% | -23.8 | +33.4 | -4.1 | -5.5 |
| South 2 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 2,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 27% | 68% | 1% | 4% | +7.7 | -5.5 | -1.2 | -1.0 |
| South 3 | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 36% | 61% | 1% | 3% | -1.0 | -3.2 | +4.0 | +0.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Daisuke Suzuki ron 2,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 37% | 58% | 1% | 4% | +2.9 | -3.2 | -5.6 | +5.8 |
| South 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 42% | 54% | 0% | 4% | -16.7 | +21.3 | -0.7 | -3.9 |