Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/16 Game 2
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+61.7pt). The game was decided in South 1: Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +36.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 4,800 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 26% | 26% | 26% | 23% | +8.4 | -10.7 | +0.7 | +1.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 12,000 | 31% | 20% | 25% | 24% | +31.4 | -9.6 | -11.2 | -10.6 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 5,800 from Katsumata Kenji | 57% | 12% | 15% | 16% | +14.3 | -0.5 | -14.1 | +0.3 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 71% | 9% | 8% | 12% | -2.9 | +26.9 | -24.9 | +0.9 |
| East 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 3,000 | 66% | 19% | 3% | 12% | -0.2 | +6.9 | -2.1 | -4.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 1,300 from Katsumata Kenji | 65% | 22% | 3% | 9% | +3.8 | -0.9 | -4.2 | +1.3 |
| East 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 71% | 18% | 2% | 9% | +1.9 | +2.0 | -1.7 | -2.2 |
| East 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 5,200 from Daigo Hiroshi | 74% | 18% | 1% | 7% | -7.3 | +3.9 | +6.4 | -3.0 |
| South 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 68% | 25% | 2% | 5% | -25.5 | +36.0 | -5.0 | -5.6 |
| South 2 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 2,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 25% | 71% | 1% | 3% | +6.8 | -7.8 | -0.2 | +1.2 |
| South 3 | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 34% | 61% | 1% | 4% | -0.8 | -2.7 | +4.2 | -0.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Daisuke ron 2,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 36% | 59% | 2% | 4% | +3.8 | -4.3 | -5.9 | +6.4 |
| South 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 43% | 53% | 0% | 4% | -16.8 | +22.2 | -1.1 | -4.3 |