Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/17 Game 1
Asami Maki finished 1st (+58.7pt). The game was decided in East 3: Asami Maki tsumo 8,000, which moved Asami Maki's expected points by +25.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mizuhara Akina ron 3,900 from Hinata Aiko | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | +0.1 | -10.0 | -1.7 | +11.5 |
| East 2 | Hinata Aiko ron 7,700 from Mizuhara Akina | 24% | 19% | 24% | 32% | +1.3 | +19.2 | +0.3 | -20.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Asami Maki ron 5,200 from Takamiya Mari | 24% | 32% | 24% | 20% | +15.7 | -0.8 | -14.5 | -0.4 |
| East 3 | Asami Maki tsumo 8,000 | 35% | 29% | 17% | 19% | +25.6 | -6.4 | -15.0 | -4.2 |
| East 4 | Hinata Aiko ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 61% | 19% | 6% | 14% | -2.4 | +22.8 | -16.1 | -4.2 |
| South 1 | Asami Maki ron 5,800 from Mizuhara Akina | 53% | 35% | 3% | 9% | +14.1 | -4.1 | +0.8 | -10.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 8,000 from Asami Maki | 70% | 25% | 2% | 4% | -25.4 | +27.3 | -0.3 | -1.6 |
| South 2 | Takamiya Mari ron 12,000 from Hinata Aiko | 32% | 64% | 2% | 3% | +14.0 | -35.4 | +26.9 | -5.6 |
| South 3 | Asami Maki ron 2,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 65% | 22% | 8% | 5% | +13.5 | -1.0 | -4.3 | -8.2 |
| South 4 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 5,200 | 87% | 11% | 1% | 2% | +4.4 | -2.5 | +7.4 | -9.3 |