Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/17 Game 1
Maki Asami finished 1st (+58.7pt). The game was decided in East 3: Maki Asami tsumo 8,000, which moved Maki Asami's expected points by +27.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Akina Mizuhara ron 3,900 from Aiko Hinata | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -2.5 | -13.2 | +0.4 | +15.3 |
| East 2 | Aiko Hinata ron 7,700 from Akina Mizuhara | 23% | 17% | 24% | 36% | -0.5 | +22.9 | -0.7 | -21.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Maki Asami ron 5,200 from Mari Takamiya | 22% | 33% | 25% | 20% | +15.4 | -2.1 | -12.1 | -1.3 |
| East 3 | Maki Asami tsumo 8,000 | 33% | 30% | 17% | 20% | +27.2 | -5.1 | -18.3 | -3.8 |
| East 4 | Aiko Hinata ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya | 60% | 20% | 7% | 13% | -0.5 | +19.9 | -15.3 | -4.1 |
| South 1 | Maki Asami ron 5,800 from Akina Mizuhara | 56% | 34% | 2% | 8% | +12.8 | -2.8 | +2.7 | -12.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata ron 8,000 from Maki Asami | 69% | 26% | 2% | 3% | -26.4 | +27.2 | -0.9 | +0.1 |
| South 2 | Mari Takamiya ron 12,000 from Aiko Hinata | 32% | 63% | 2% | 3% | +16.2 | -36.1 | +24.0 | -4.2 |
| South 3 | Maki Asami ron 2,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 68% | 19% | 7% | 6% | +12.2 | -0.3 | -2.2 | -9.6 |
| South 4 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 5,200 | 87% | 10% | 0% | 2% | +4.1 | -2.4 | +7.4 | -9.1 |