Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/17 Game 2
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+61.1pt). The game was decided in East 2: Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +23.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 4,000 | 23% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -5.0 | -3.8 | +9.9 | -1.1 |
| East 2 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 23% | 33% | 24% | +23.0 | -12.8 | -5.9 | -4.3 |
| East 3 | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Yu Suzuki | 37% | 15% | 27% | 22% | -0.8 | -10.2 | +13.0 | -2.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 33% | 10% | 38% | 19% | +5.8 | +3.5 | -5.0 | -4.3 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 40% | 11% | 33% | 16% | -10.5 | -5.2 | +27.8 | -12.1 |
| South 1 | Sho Shiratori ron 3,900 from Yu Suzuki | 25% | 7% | 61% | 7% | +9.9 | -7.8 | -1.1 | -1.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 31% | 5% | 57% | 7% | +1.1 | -1.1 | +1.7 | -1.6 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 3,900 | 31% | 5% | 58% | 6% | +17.5 | -6.1 | -7.5 | -4.0 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 50% | 3% | 44% | 4% | +6.0 | +16.6 | -19.9 | -2.8 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 5,200 from Yu Suzuki | 67% | 6% | 23% | 4% | +1.6 | -15.9 | +12.3 | +2.1 |
| South 3 | Ken Sonoda ron 7,700 from Hisato Sasaki | 68% | 0% | 30% | 2% | -10.8 | +5.5 | +19.5 | -14.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 1,600 from Ken Sonoda | 41% | 0% | 57% | 1% | +11.0 | +2.2 | -10.5 | -2.8 |
| South 4 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 4,000 | 62% | 0% | 38% | 1% | +14.5 | +10.0 | -16.2 | -8.3 |