Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/17 Game 2
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+61.1pt). The game was decided in East 2: Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +21.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 4,000 | 27% | 23% | 25% | 26% | -7.8 | -0.8 | +9.7 | -1.0 |
| East 2 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 23% | 32% | 24% | +21.7 | -12.2 | -5.0 | -4.5 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Suzuki Yu | 36% | 16% | 28% | 21% | -0.7 | -10.5 | +10.8 | +0.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 33% | 11% | 36% | 21% | +5.7 | +4.9 | -4.8 | -5.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 40% | 12% | 31% | 18% | -7.9 | -7.9 | +29.7 | -13.9 |
| South 1 | Shiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Suzuki Yu | 27% | 7% | 60% | 7% | +8.6 | -7.6 | -1.4 | +0.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 33% | 5% | 57% | 6% | +0.9 | -2.1 | +2.9 | -1.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 3,900 | 32% | 4% | 59% | 5% | +15.7 | -3.9 | -8.3 | -3.5 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 49% | 2% | 44% | 4% | +7.0 | +16.1 | -22.6 | -0.5 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 5,200 from Suzuki Yu | 67% | 5% | 22% | 6% | +1.0 | -16.1 | +14.3 | +0.8 |
| South 3 | Sonoda Ken ron 7,700 from Sasaki Hisato | 66% | 0% | 30% | 4% | -10.1 | +6.5 | +20.3 | -16.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 1,600 from Sonoda Ken | 40% | 0% | 58% | 1% | +11.4 | +2.1 | -11.5 | -2.1 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 4,000 | 62% | 0% | 36% | 1% | +14.3 | +9.8 | -15.8 | -8.4 |