Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/19 Game 1
Takaki Asai finished 1st (+60.8pt). The game was decided in East 4, 2 honba: Takaki Asai tsumo 12,000, which moved Takaki Asai's expected points by +41.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Takaki Asai 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Takaki Asai Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaki Asai ron 6,400 from Daisuke Suzuki | 25% | 25% | 26% | 24% | -18.8 | -1.5 | +2.1 | +18.2 |
| East 2 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 5,200 from Shingo Hori | 13% | 25% | 26% | 37% | +15.5 | -2.4 | -15.1 | +2.0 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 22% | 17% | 39% | +2.8 | -2.9 | +3.2 | -3.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 20% | 18% | 38% | +3.3 | +5.3 | -5.6 | -3.0 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Takaki Asai tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 24% | 16% | 36% | -14.4 | -14.3 | -12.6 | +41.3 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 9% | 5% | 76% | +2.9 | -2.6 | -2.4 | +2.1 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 8% | 4% | 78% | +26.8 | -8.3 | -6.0 | -12.5 |
| South 1 | Takaki Asai tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 6% | 4% | 64% | -13.0 | -2.6 | -6.1 | +21.7 |
| South 2 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,900 from Daisuke Suzuki | 6% | 3% | 1% | 90% | -9.0 | +7.8 | 0.0 | +1.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 5,800 from Daisuke Suzuki | 3% | 3% | 2% | 93% | -18.0 | +19.2 | -0.6 | -0.6 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 7% | 1% | 91% | -1.8 | +5.1 | -1.1 | -2.1 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 9% | 2% | 88% | -8.9 | -12.2 | +20.7 | +0.4 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 1% | 4% | 94% | +4.6 | -3.5 | +0.9 | -2.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 3,000 | 1% | 2% | 4% | 94% | -5.8 | -5.3 | +12.9 | -1.8 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 24,000 | 1% | 1% | 7% | 91% | -12.9 | -18.2 | +66.1 | -35.0 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Shingo Hori ron 1,500 from Kazunori Takizawa | 0% | 0% | 75% | 24% | +0.4 | -3.3 | +5.9 | -3.0 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 0% | 0% | 82% | 17% | -16.1 | +18.5 | +0.9 | -3.3 |
| South 4 | Takaki Asai ron 5,800 from Daisuke Suzuki | 0% | 0% | 87% | 13% | -5.8 | -0.5 | -3.4 | +9.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Daisuke Suzuki ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 0% | 0% | 80% | 20% | +8.1 | +0.5 | -39.2 | +30.6 |