Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/19 Game 1
Asai Takaki finished 1st (+60.8pt). The game was decided in East 4, 2 honba: Asai Takaki tsumo 12,000, which moved Asai Takaki's expected points by +40.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Asai Takaki 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Asai Takaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Asai Takaki ron 6,400 from Suzuki Daisuke | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -18.8 | -1.3 | +1.1 | +19.0 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Daisuke ron 5,200 from Hori Shingo | 14% | 23% | 25% | 38% | +13.6 | -0.9 | -13.0 | +0.2 |
| East 3 | Draw | 21% | 23% | 17% | 39% | +3.2 | -5.2 | +3.1 | -1.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 23% | 19% | 19% | 39% | +4.5 | +5.9 | -7.1 | -3.3 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Asai Takaki tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 23% | 15% | 35% | -18.3 | -11.6 | -11.1 | +40.9 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Draw | 8% | 10% | 5% | 76% | +5.0 | -4.5 | -3.1 | +2.6 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 8% | 4% | 78% | +26.4 | -7.5 | -5.5 | -13.4 |
| South 1 | Asai Takaki tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 6% | 4% | 63% | -13.1 | -3.1 | -5.5 | +21.7 |
| South 2 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 2,900 from Suzuki Daisuke | 6% | 3% | 1% | 90% | -8.1 | +7.7 | -1.0 | +1.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 5,800 from Suzuki Daisuke | 3% | 3% | 1% | 92% | -18.0 | +18.6 | -0.3 | -0.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 1% | 6% | 2% | 92% | -2.4 | +4.5 | -0.4 | -1.7 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 8% | 2% | 89% | -8.7 | -11.4 | +20.0 | +0.1 |
| South 3 | Draw | 0% | 2% | 4% | 95% | +5.5 | -4.7 | +1.2 | -2.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 3,000 | 1% | 2% | 4% | 94% | -6.1 | -4.4 | +12.6 | -2.1 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 24,000 | 0% | 2% | 6% | 92% | -13.9 | -17.7 | +67.3 | -35.7 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Hori Shingo ron 1,500 from Takizawa Kazunori | 0% | 0% | 77% | 22% | +2.3 | -4.3 | +4.3 | -2.3 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 0% | 0% | 82% | 18% | -17.3 | +19.4 | +1.8 | -3.9 |
| South 4 | Asai Takaki ron 5,800 from Suzuki Daisuke | 0% | 0% | 89% | 11% | -5.9 | -0.7 | -3.6 | +10.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Suzuki Daisuke ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 0% | 0% | 80% | 20% | +8.3 | +0.5 | -39.9 | +31.0 |