Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/20 Game 1
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+52.1pt). The game was decided in South 3: Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +33.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 25% | 26% | 24% | -15.1 | +24.6 | -6.2 | -3.2 |
| East 2 | Naoki Setokuma ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 14% | 44% | 20% | 22% | +0.1 | -23.2 | +23.4 | -0.3 |
| East 3 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 1,000 from Aki Nikaido | 15% | 24% | 39% | 22% | +2.3 | +1.6 | -1.0 | -2.9 |
| East 4 | Sho Shiratori ron 2,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 16% | 26% | 37% | 21% | -7.1 | +9.6 | +0.1 | -2.6 |
| South 1 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 1,100 | 13% | 32% | 38% | 17% | -7.5 | +7.3 | +0.6 | -0.4 |
| South 2 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 6% | 38% | 38% | 17% | -10.7 | -22.2 | -14.6 | +47.5 |
| South 3 | Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 2% | 15% | 20% | 63% | -1.4 | +33.6 | -28.7 | -3.4 |
| South 4 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 48% | 1% | 51% | +18.1 | +21.7 | -16.7 | -23.0 |