Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/20 Game 1
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+52.1pt). The game was decided in South 3: Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +34.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 23% | 26% | 26% | -16.3 | +26.0 | -4.0 | -5.6 |
| East 2 | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 13% | 44% | 22% | 21% | +0.9 | -22.9 | +21.2 | +0.8 |
| East 3 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 1,000 from Nikaido Aki | 15% | 24% | 38% | 23% | +4.2 | +0.8 | -0.8 | -4.2 |
| East 4 | Shiratori Sho ron 2,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 17% | 24% | 39% | 20% | -6.8 | +10.2 | -1.7 | -1.7 |
| South 1 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 1,100 | 14% | 32% | 36% | 18% | -9.6 | +9.5 | +0.8 | -0.7 |
| South 2 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 7% | 41% | 35% | 17% | -10.4 | -24.3 | -12.3 | +47.1 |
| South 3 | Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 3% | 15% | 22% | 61% | -2.1 | +34.0 | -29.7 | -2.3 |
| South 4 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 47% | 2% | 51% | +18.2 | +21.6 | -16.9 | -22.9 |