Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/20 Game 2
Tomohiro Honda finished 1st (+62.8pt). The game was decided in East 4, 2 honba: Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki, which moved Tomohiro Honda's expected points by +36.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -13.9 | -8.4 | -3.1 | +25.4 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki ron 3,900 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 16% | 18% | 21% | 44% | -8.8 | -3.5 | -1.1 | +13.4 |
| East 3 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 3,000 | 10% | 14% | 18% | 57% | -3.9 | -2.7 | +9.5 | -2.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 13% | 24% | 54% | +1.3 | -1.3 | -3.2 | +3.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 9% | 13% | 20% | 58% | -6.4 | +36.7 | -4.5 | -25.9 |
| South 1 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 40% | 20% | 32% | -13.3 | -6.3 | +28.3 | -8.7 |
| South 2 | Tomohiro Honda ron 5,800 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 3% | 32% | 42% | 23% | -11.8 | +21.6 | -7.0 | -2.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 53% | 30% | 18% | +13.1 | -6.3 | -1.3 | -5.5 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 52% | 30% | 16% | -1.5 | -2.5 | +8.4 | -4.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 7,700 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 1% | 47% | 39% | 14% | -12.5 | -13.0 | +25.4 | +0.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 6,400 | 0% | 18% | 73% | 9% | -1.6 | +28.1 | -20.9 | -5.6 |
| South 4 | Tomohiro Honda ron 2,000 from Taro Suzuki | 0% | 61% | 33% | 6% | -0.3 | +20.0 | -11.3 | -8.3 |