Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/20 Game 2
Honda Tomohiro finished 1st (+62.8pt). The game was decided in East 4, 2 honba: Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro, which moved Honda Tomohiro's expected points by +33.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 23% | 26% | 26% | -13.7 | -5.0 | -5.1 | +23.8 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Taro ron 3,900 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 14% | 21% | 21% | 44% | -7.4 | -3.5 | +0.5 | +10.5 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 3,000 | 11% | 15% | 20% | 55% | -5.7 | -2.4 | +8.5 | -0.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 9% | 13% | 24% | 54% | +2.7 | -0.9 | -4.8 | +3.0 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 9% | 13% | 20% | 57% | -5.8 | +33.8 | -1.8 | -26.2 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 39% | 21% | 32% | -14.3 | -6.6 | +27.8 | -6.9 |
| South 2 | Honda Tomohiro ron 5,800 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 2% | 30% | 44% | 25% | -11.0 | +22.3 | -5.7 | -5.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 52% | 31% | 16% | +12.9 | -5.1 | -2.7 | -5.0 |
| South 3 | Draw | 1% | 53% | 30% | 16% | -1.6 | -5.0 | +8.8 | -2.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 7,700 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 1% | 44% | 41% | 14% | -12.3 | -10.2 | +24.7 | -2.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 6,400 | 0% | 19% | 73% | 8% | -2.1 | +26.7 | -19.6 | -4.9 |
| South 4 | Honda Tomohiro ron 2,000 from Suzuki Taro | 0% | 59% | 36% | 5% | -0.2 | +20.8 | -12.7 | -7.8 |