Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2024-25 Regular Season

12/23 Game 2

Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+67.7pt). The game was decided in East 4: Shiratori Sho tsumo 16,000, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +50.4.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Shiratori Sho● Takizawa Kazunori● Sarukawa Masatoshi● Okada Sayaka0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Shiratori● Takizawa● Sarukawa● Okada
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultTakizawa Kazunori
1st-place chance
Shiratori Sho
1st-place chance
Sarukawa Masatoshi
1st-place chance
Okada Sayaka
1st-place chance
Takizawa Kazunori
Expected pt change
Shiratori Sho
Expected pt change
Sarukawa Masatoshi
Expected pt change
Okada Sayaka
Expected pt change
East 1Shiratori Sho ron 1,300 from Takizawa Kazunori26%24%25%26%-6.3+3.2+2.5+0.7
East 2Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 8,00020%26%27%27%-5.2-12.0+23.3-6.2
East 3Draw17%17%45%21%-1.7+3.7+1.8-3.9
East 3, 1 honbaTakizawa Kazunori ron 5,200 from Okada Sayaka16%19%47%19%+15.1-0.90.0-14.2
East 4Shiratori Sho tsumo 16,00024%17%46%13%-14.0+50.4-14.1-22.3
South 1Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 1,000 from Okada Sayaka11%62%25%3%-3.2+0.2+5.0-2.0
South 2Draw6%63%28%2%-1.9+1.0+1.2-0.2
South 2, 1 honbaSarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 1,1006%63%28%3%-3.2-1.3+8.3-3.8
South 3Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka3%63%33%1%+26.7+0.4-10.9-16.2
South 4Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi17%64%19%0%+6.2+24.6-28.8-1.9

All 2024-25 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)