Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/23 Game 2
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+67.7pt). The game was decided in East 4: Sho Shiratori tsumo 16,000, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +48.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Masatoshi Sarukawa 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Masatoshi Sarukawa Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori ron 1,300 from Kazunori Takizawa | 24% | 27% | 23% | 26% | -7.2 | +3.4 | +3.1 | +0.6 |
| East 2 | Masatoshi Sarukawa tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 28% | 26% | 26% | -3.5 | -14.1 | +22.2 | -4.6 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 18% | 43% | 22% | -3.2 | +3.6 | +3.0 | -3.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 5,200 from Sayaka Okada | 16% | 19% | 46% | 19% | +14.6 | +0.2 | +0.5 | -15.3 |
| East 4 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 16,000 | 23% | 18% | 47% | 12% | -12.4 | +48.0 | -14.4 | -21.2 |
| South 1 | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 1,000 from Sayaka Okada | 11% | 61% | 25% | 3% | -3.6 | +1.2 | +5.0 | -2.6 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 64% | 27% | 2% | -3.1 | +2.9 | +1.1 | -0.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Masatoshi Sarukawa tsumo 1,100 | 5% | 66% | 27% | 2% | -3.2 | -2.5 | +7.9 | -2.2 |
| South 3 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Sayaka Okada | 2% | 65% | 31% | 2% | +27.3 | -0.1 | -10.3 | -17.0 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 16% | 66% | 18% | 0% | +6.4 | +23.9 | -28.6 | -1.7 |