Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/26 Game 1
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+56.9pt). The game was decided in East 4: Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +29.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 2,700 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -6.0 | -1.6 | -0.2 | +7.7 |
| East 2 | Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 21% | 23% | 24% | 32% | +25.5 | -2.9 | -0.7 | -21.9 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Takamiya Mari | 40% | 21% | 23% | 17% | -6.6 | +1.6 | -0.5 | +5.5 |
| East 4 | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 35% | 21% | 23% | 20% | -6.8 | +29.1 | -6.1 | -16.2 |
| South 1 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 3,900 | 26% | 45% | 18% | 11% | +13.0 | -4.9 | -3.4 | -4.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 3,900 from Kobayashi Go | 38% | 39% | 15% | 8% | -4.6 | +16.0 | -0.8 | -10.6 |
| South 2 | Hori Shingo ron 5,800 from Kobayashi Go | 27% | 57% | 12% | 4% | -2.6 | +15.1 | -2.3 | -10.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Takamiya Mari | 18% | 74% | 7% | 2% | -4.9 | +2.2 | +1.3 | +1.5 |
| South 3 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 16,000 | 11% | 82% | 6% | 1% | -7.4 | -1.1 | -31.4 | +40.0 |
| South 4 | Kobayashi Go ron 5,800 from Takeuchi Genta | 4% | 87% | 0% | 9% | -9.4 | -2.1 | -8.5 | +20.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 82% | 0% | 15% | +23.1 | +6.1 | -2.3 | -26.9 |