Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/26 Game 1
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+56.9pt). The game was decided in East 4: Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +30.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 2,700 | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -5.9 | +0.2 | -3.6 | +9.4 |
| East 2 | Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 20% | 24% | 24% | 32% | +22.3 | -1.1 | +1.4 | -22.7 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Mari Takamiya | 37% | 21% | 24% | 17% | -2.7 | -1.0 | -3.7 | +7.5 |
| East 4 | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 35% | 21% | 20% | 23% | -6.9 | +30.0 | -5.1 | -18.1 |
| South 1 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 3,900 | 28% | 46% | 16% | 11% | +11.1 | -3.3 | -3.5 | -4.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 3,900 from Go Kobayashi | 36% | 42% | 14% | 8% | -2.7 | +15.7 | -0.6 | -12.4 |
| South 2 | Shingo Hori ron 5,800 from Go Kobayashi | 27% | 59% | 11% | 3% | -3.4 | +12.1 | +0.3 | -9.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Mari Takamiya | 18% | 72% | 8% | 2% | -5.5 | +3.8 | -0.5 | +2.2 |
| South 3 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 16,000 | 10% | 81% | 7% | 1% | -5.9 | -1.1 | -30.9 | +37.9 |
| South 4 | Go Kobayashi ron 5,800 from Genta Takeuchi | 4% | 88% | 0% | 8% | -10.3 | -2.6 | -9.1 | +22.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 81% | 0% | 16% | +23.1 | +6.3 | -2.0 | -27.5 |