Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/26 Game 2
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+60.0pt). The game was decided in South 3: Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Namba Shibukawa, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +39.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -13.3 | -4.9 | -4.3 | +22.5 |
| East 2 | Namba Shibukawa ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki | 16% | 20% | 21% | 43% | -18.5 | -3.8 | +1.2 | +21.1 |
| East 3 | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 13% | 18% | 63% | -3.5 | -3.6 | -12.9 | +20.1 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 6% | 6% | 85% | +6.4 | -1.0 | -3.0 | -2.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 3,900 from Namba Shibukawa | 4% | 7% | 5% | 85% | -8.0 | -1.1 | +13.6 | -4.5 |
| South 2 | Namba Shibukawa ron 1,000 from Yu Suzuki | 1% | 7% | 9% | 83% | -4.4 | -3.0 | +2.3 | +5.1 |
| South 3 | Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Namba Shibukawa | 0% | 1% | 8% | 91% | -0.7 | -2.8 | +39.1 | -35.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 4% | 55% | 40% | -0.2 | -3.7 | +2.3 | +1.6 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 2,700 | 0% | 2% | 62% | 36% | -6.4 | +2.1 | +21.9 | -17.6 |