Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/26 Game 2
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+60.0pt). The game was decided in South 3: Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Shibukawa Namba, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +40.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 23% | 26% | 26% | -13.2 | -1.8 | -6.0 | +21.0 |
| East 2 | Shibukawa Namba ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu | 16% | 22% | 21% | 41% | -18.5 | -5.0 | +0.4 | +23.1 |
| East 3 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 14% | 17% | 63% | -4.0 | -1.5 | -12.5 | +18.0 |
| East 4 | Draw | 3% | 8% | 6% | 83% | +6.3 | -3.1 | -2.7 | -0.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 3,900 from Shibukawa Namba | 3% | 6% | 4% | 86% | -7.5 | -2.0 | +14.8 | -5.2 |
| South 2 | Shibukawa Namba ron 1,000 from Suzuki Yu | 2% | 6% | 9% | 83% | -3.4 | -2.7 | +1.2 | +4.9 |
| South 3 | Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 0% | 1% | 7% | 92% | -2.2 | -2.9 | +40.2 | -35.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 1% | 4% | 54% | 40% | +1.0 | -3.1 | +1.9 | +0.2 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 2,700 | 1% | 2% | 63% | 35% | -7.4 | +2.2 | +21.9 | -16.7 |