Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/27 Game 1
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+64.0pt). The game was decided in South 2: Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +40.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Rumi ron 1,000 from Nakada Kana | 25% | 26% | 25% | 25% | -2.5 | -1.1 | +5.1 | -1.4 |
| East 2 | Draw | 23% | 25% | 28% | 25% | -4.5 | +5.5 | -3.9 | +2.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 28% | 24% | 27% | -6.6 | -17.5 | +30.8 | -6.7 |
| East 3 | Draw | 14% | 15% | 51% | 20% | -0.3 | -2.2 | +4.8 | -2.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 2,700 | 14% | 13% | 55% | 18% | -3.4 | +10.4 | -3.6 | -3.3 |
| East 4 | Nakada Kana ron 2,600 from Shiratori Sho | 13% | 19% | 52% | 16% | +8.2 | -9.9 | +4.6 | -2.9 |
| South 1 | Shiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Honda Tomohiro | 15% | 13% | 59% | 12% | -2.2 | +10.0 | +3.0 | -10.8 |
| South 2 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 16% | 64% | 9% | -13.0 | +40.1 | -18.7 | -8.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 3,900 from Nakada Kana | 5% | 55% | 34% | 6% | -12.9 | +2.4 | -0.5 | +11.0 |
| South 3 | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 6,000 | 2% | 62% | 30% | 7% | -4.9 | -13.7 | +21.6 | -3.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 34% | 61% | 5% | -4.9 | +32.6 | -25.0 | -2.8 |
| South 4 | Shiratori Sho ron 1,000 from Nakada Kana | 0% | 87% | 11% | 2% | -4.9 | +6.3 | -2.8 | +1.4 |