Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/27 Game 1
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+64.0pt). The game was decided in South 2: Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +40.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Rumi Nikaido ron 1,000 from Kana Nakada | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -5.3 | -0.9 | +6.8 | -0.6 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 25% | 30% | 25% | -4.9 | +4.6 | -2.7 | +3.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 28% | 28% | 26% | -4.7 | -15.7 | +26.6 | -6.2 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 15% | 49% | 21% | -1.4 | -1.5 | +6.2 | -3.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 2,700 | 13% | 14% | 55% | 18% | -3.2 | +9.0 | -3.7 | -2.0 |
| East 4 | Kana Nakada ron 2,600 from Sho Shiratori | 12% | 18% | 53% | 18% | +11.6 | -10.0 | +2.4 | -4.0 |
| South 1 | Sho Shiratori ron 3,900 from Tomohiro Honda | 17% | 13% | 58% | 13% | -4.6 | +11.7 | +3.3 | -10.4 |
| South 2 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 17% | 62% | 10% | -13.1 | +40.0 | -16.6 | -10.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 3,900 from Kana Nakada | 4% | 56% | 35% | 5% | -13.8 | +0.8 | +0.4 | +12.7 |
| South 3 | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 6,000 | 1% | 61% | 31% | 7% | -3.1 | -13.5 | +19.8 | -3.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 33% | 61% | 5% | -4.9 | +32.5 | -25.5 | -2.1 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori ron 1,000 from Kana Nakada | 0% | 88% | 10% | 2% | -5.2 | +6.8 | -2.1 | +0.6 |