Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/27 Game 2
Rumi Nikaido finished 1st (+66.9pt). The game was decided in East 1, 4 honba: Rumi Nikaido ron 2,900 from Daisuke Suzuki, which moved Rumi Nikaido's expected points by +17.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 25% | 25% | 23% | +2.8 | -1.9 | +0.8 | -1.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 28% | 23% | 26% | 24% | +8.5 | -4.3 | -1.6 | -2.6 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 35% | 20% | 25% | 21% | +4.4 | -1.6 | -1.7 | -1.1 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 36% | 19% | 24% | 21% | +5.8 | -0.4 | -2.9 | -2.5 |
| East 1, 4 honba | Rumi Nikaido ron 2,900 from Daisuke Suzuki | 42% | 18% | 22% | 19% | +17.1 | -12.4 | -2.3 | -2.3 |
| East 1, 5 honba | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 1,100 | 57% | 11% | 17% | 15% | -1.2 | +7.3 | -2.0 | -4.1 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 58% | 13% | 16% | 14% | -0.9 | -6.3 | +0.7 | +6.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Rumi Nikaido ron 3,900 from Naoki Setokuma | 57% | 10% | 16% | 16% | +16.8 | -0.8 | -14.8 | -1.2 |
| East 4 | Rumi Nikaido ron 5,200 from Daisuke Suzuki | 76% | 7% | 5% | 12% | +11.3 | -11.2 | +2.2 | -2.4 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 89% | 2% | 3% | 5% | -2.7 | +2.4 | +3.5 | -3.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 8,000 | 88% | 3% | 4% | 4% | -1.2 | -15.0 | +21.6 | -5.3 |
| South 3 | Sho Shiratori ron 5,200 from Naoki Setokuma | 89% | 0% | 8% | 4% | +3.0 | -3.0 | -20.0 | +20.1 |
| South 4 | Naoki Setokuma ron 2,000 from Sho Shiratori | 95% | 0% | 0% | 5% | +1.9 | -2.0 | +19.2 | -19.1 |