Game · 2024-25 Regular Season
12/27 Game 2
Nikaido Rumi finished 1st (+66.9pt). The game was decided in East 1, 4 honba: Nikaido Rumi ron 2,900 from Suzuki Daisuke, which moved Nikaido Rumi's expected points by +19.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | +4.3 | -3.7 | +0.8 | -1.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 27% | 22% | 27% | 24% | +7.8 | -2.3 | -0.6 | -4.9 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Draw | 34% | 21% | 25% | 21% | +5.6 | +0.9 | -4.9 | -1.5 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Draw | 37% | 21% | 22% | 20% | +5.5 | -2.6 | -1.6 | -1.3 |
| East 1, 4 honba | Nikaido Rumi ron 2,900 from Suzuki Daisuke | 41% | 20% | 19% | 19% | +19.5 | -13.6 | -1.1 | -4.8 |
| East 1, 5 honba | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 1,100 | 59% | 10% | 17% | 14% | -3.7 | +8.0 | -2.3 | -2.1 |
| East 2 | Draw | 57% | 14% | 16% | 13% | -0.9 | -7.3 | +2.4 | +5.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi ron 3,900 from Setokuma Naoki | 56% | 11% | 18% | 16% | +16.3 | +1.8 | -15.0 | -3.1 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Rumi ron 5,200 from Suzuki Daisuke | 76% | 7% | 6% | 10% | +11.3 | -11.9 | +0.4 | +0.3 |
| South 1 | Draw | 88% | 2% | 4% | 6% | -2.4 | +0.1 | +5.4 | -3.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 8,000 | 89% | 2% | 5% | 4% | -1.2 | -12.9 | +20.9 | -6.8 |
| South 3 | Shiratori Sho ron 5,200 from Setokuma Naoki | 89% | 0% | 8% | 3% | +3.0 | -3.8 | -19.7 | +20.4 |
| South 4 | Setokuma Naoki ron 2,000 from Shiratori Sho | 95% | 0% | 0% | 5% | +2.1 | -1.9 | +18.4 | -18.7 |