Game · 2024-25 Semifinals
4/7 Game 1
Daigo Hiroshi finished 1st (+55.5pt). The game was decided in South 3: Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 4,000, which moved Daigo Hiroshi's expected points by +26.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Asami Maki ron 5,800 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 25% | 23% | 26% | 25% | +14.8 | +0.5 | -16.3 | +1.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Daigo Hiroshi | 35% | 23% | 16% | 26% | -1.0 | -5.4 | +0.5 | +5.9 |
| East 2 | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Daigo Hiroshi | 34% | 20% | 17% | 30% | -1.2 | -20.4 | +0.2 | +21.4 |
| East 3 | Asami Maki tsumo 2,700 | 30% | 8% | 15% | 47% | +10.0 | -2.7 | -6.4 | -0.9 |
| East 4 | Kobayashi Go ron 1,500 from Asami Maki | 39% | 7% | 9% | 44% | -8.5 | -0.6 | +0.7 | +8.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Asami Maki ron 1,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 29% | 7% | 10% | 55% | +7.4 | -0.2 | -5.4 | -1.9 |
| South 1 | Draw | 35% | 6% | 8% | 51% | +3.3 | +3.9 | -4.1 | -3.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 8,000 | 39% | 7% | 7% | 48% | -13.6 | +25.0 | -7.2 | -4.1 |
| South 2 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 6,000 | 28% | 19% | 6% | 46% | -7.2 | +19.0 | -5.4 | -6.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 2,700 | 22% | 35% | 5% | 39% | -2.9 | -8.4 | -2.0 | +13.2 |
| South 3 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 4,000 | 19% | 23% | 4% | 54% | -8.0 | +26.2 | -9.8 | -8.4 |
| South 4 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 1,100 | 9% | 57% | 0% | 34% | -8.0 | +20.8 | -0.1 | -12.7 |