Game · 2024-25 Semifinal Series
4/7 Game 1
Hiroshi Daigo finished 1st (+55.5pt). The game was decided in South 3: Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 4,000, which moved Hiroshi Daigo's expected points by +25.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Maki Asami ron 5,800 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | +16.1 | -1.0 | -13.6 | -1.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 36% | 22% | 18% | 24% | -2.6 | -5.3 | +0.3 | +7.6 |
| East 2 | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 34% | 19% | 19% | 28% | 0.0 | -19.3 | -2.0 | +21.2 |
| East 3 | Maki Asami tsumo 2,700 | 30% | 9% | 14% | 47% | +10.3 | -2.5 | -7.3 | -0.5 |
| East 4 | Go Kobayashi ron 1,500 from Maki Asami | 40% | 7% | 10% | 43% | -8.3 | -1.7 | +1.1 | +8.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Maki Asami ron 1,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 32% | 6% | 10% | 53% | +5.9 | -0.3 | -4.8 | -0.8 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 35% | 5% | 8% | 52% | +3.0 | +5.7 | -3.9 | -4.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 8,000 | 39% | 8% | 7% | 47% | -13.0 | +21.9 | -8.2 | -0.6 |
| South 2 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 6,000 | 28% | 17% | 5% | 50% | -7.0 | +19.8 | -3.9 | -8.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 2,700 | 23% | 33% | 4% | 40% | -4.5 | -6.4 | -3.1 | +14.0 |
| South 3 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 4,000 | 17% | 23% | 3% | 56% | -6.5 | +25.8 | -9.2 | -10.1 |
| South 4 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 1,100 | 9% | 58% | 0% | 33% | -8.2 | +20.3 | +0.1 | -12.1 |