Game · 2024-25 Semifinals
4/8 Game 2
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+69.5pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Sasaki Hisato ron 16,000 from Sonoda Ken, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +72.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -13.0 | -7.1 | -3.2 | +23.2 |
| East 2 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 4,000 | 16% | 19% | 22% | 43% | -0.8 | -6.3 | -5.0 | +12.1 |
| East 3 | Draw | 14% | 13% | 18% | 55% | -0.5 | +2.5 | +3.9 | -5.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,600 from Sonoda Ken | 14% | 15% | 21% | 51% | -3.0 | +11.4 | -9.7 | +1.3 |
| East 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 13% | 22% | 14% | 52% | -0.7 | +30.0 | -1.3 | -28.0 |
| South 1 | Honda Tomohiro ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken | 12% | 52% | 13% | 24% | +33.6 | -2.8 | -27.0 | -3.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 31% | 46% | 5% | 19% | -1.5 | -0.3 | +1.3 | +0.5 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken | 30% | 46% | 4% | 21% | -9.2 | -12.6 | -20.9 | +42.7 |
| South 3 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 23% | 1% | 62% | +38.6 | -14.8 | -7.0 | -16.8 |
| South 4 | Shiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Sonoda Ken | 63% | 10% | 0% | 28% | -13.2 | -3.5 | -3.7 | +20.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 1,500 from Sonoda Ken | 32% | 6% | 0% | 62% | -5.2 | +0.6 | -1.9 | +6.5 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 16,000 from Sonoda Ken | 20% | 6% | 0% | 74% | -25.0 | +72.3 | -17.1 | -30.1 |