Game · 2024-25 Semifinal Series
4/8 Game 2
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+69.5pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Hisato Sasaki ron 16,000 from Ken Sonoda, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +72.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 23% | 26% | 26% | -14.2 | -3.5 | -7.0 | +24.7 |
| East 2 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 4,000 | 14% | 20% | 20% | 46% | -2.4 | -8.3 | -0.6 | +11.3 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 12% | 18% | 57% | +1.2 | +3.9 | +1.4 | -6.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,600 from Ken Sonoda | 14% | 16% | 20% | 51% | -3.3 | +12.0 | -9.4 | +0.6 |
| East 4 | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 12% | 22% | 14% | 51% | +1.2 | +29.1 | -1.5 | -28.8 |
| South 1 | Tomohiro Honda ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda | 13% | 52% | 13% | 23% | +33.6 | -4.4 | -27.6 | -1.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 32% | 44% | 5% | 19% | -2.5 | +0.8 | +3.4 | -1.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda | 30% | 45% | 5% | 20% | -9.6 | -13.6 | -21.2 | +44.4 |
| South 3 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 21% | 1% | 63% | +37.6 | -13.7 | -7.2 | -16.7 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori ron 3,900 from Ken Sonoda | 62% | 9% | 0% | 29% | -12.2 | -3.1 | -4.1 | +19.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 1,500 from Ken Sonoda | 31% | 6% | 0% | 62% | -3.9 | 0.0 | -1.8 | +5.6 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 16,000 from Ken Sonoda | 21% | 7% | 0% | 73% | -26.2 | +72.7 | -17.1 | -29.4 |