Game · 2024-25 Semifinals
4/10 Game 1
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+58.5pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +36.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 2,100 | 26% | 24% | 26% | 24% | +8.2 | -1.2 | -3.9 | -3.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 33% | 23% | 22% | 22% | -1.9 | -1.9 | -3.1 | +6.9 |
| East 2 | Mizuhara Akina ron 12,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 30% | 22% | 21% | 27% | -4.5 | +37.2 | -1.7 | -31.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 5,200 | 22% | 51% | 18% | 9% | +19.7 | -11.9 | -3.8 | -4.0 |
| East 3 | Draw | 40% | 38% | 15% | 7% | -3.3 | +2.0 | +4.2 | -3.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 2,900 from Mizuhara Akina | 37% | 40% | 17% | 6% | +0.2 | -8.2 | +7.3 | +0.7 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 39% | 32% | 21% | 8% | -1.9 | -4.5 | +8.1 | -1.6 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 2,000 | 37% | 28% | 27% | 8% | -1.9 | +2.0 | -6.9 | +6.8 |
| East 4 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 36% | 32% | 23% | 10% | -9.8 | -9.3 | -11.0 | +30.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takeuchi Genta ron 1,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 30% | 27% | 18% | 26% | +5.6 | -4.2 | -0.1 | -1.3 |
| South 1 | Mizuhara Akina ron 3,900 from Takeuchi Genta | 34% | 24% | 16% | 25% | -15.3 | +14.8 | +0.7 | -0.3 |
| South 2 | Takeuchi Genta ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 21% | 36% | 20% | 24% | +32.5 | -6.4 | -26.7 | +0.7 |
| South 3 | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 52% | 22% | 5% | 21% | -2.9 | -7.7 | -18.6 | +29.2 |
| South 4 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 43% | 14% | 0% | 43% | -22.3 | -10.4 | -3.9 | +36.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 3% | 1% | 0% | 96% | +3.4 | -3.5 | -1.3 | +1.3 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 3% | 1% | 0% | 96% | -17.8 | +26.0 | +0.1 | -8.3 |