Game · 2024-25 Semifinal Series
4/10 Game 2
Tomohiro Honda finished 1st (+57.0pt). The game was decided in South 2: Tomohiro Honda tsumo 12,000, which moved Tomohiro Honda's expected points by +31.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Takaki Asai 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Takaki Asai Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaki Asai tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 23% | 26% | 25% | -12.7 | -4.4 | +20.5 | -3.4 |
| East 2 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 3,000 | 16% | 21% | 41% | 22% | -2.1 | +7.7 | -3.0 | -2.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 1,000 from Yu Suzuki | 15% | 26% | 39% | 20% | -3.5 | -1.2 | +1.0 | +3.7 |
| East 3 | Takaki Asai tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 23% | 40% | 24% | -8.2 | -11.2 | +29.7 | -10.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 7% | 12% | 69% | 12% | +31.4 | -8.3 | -13.3 | -9.8 |
| East 4 | Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Takaki Asai | 23% | 11% | 56% | 10% | +1.2 | +23.9 | -22.1 | -3.0 |
| South 1 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 5,200 | 28% | 26% | 35% | 11% | -11.4 | +19.7 | -2.4 | -5.9 |
| South 2 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 45% | 31% | 7% | -11.0 | +31.9 | -14.3 | -6.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 83% | 10% | 3% | -13.7 | -13.9 | -13.4 | +40.9 |
| South 3 | Hisato Sasaki ron 3,900 from Yu Suzuki | 3% | 71% | 10% | 16% | -12.8 | +4.4 | -5.2 | +13.6 |
| South 4 | Yu Suzuki ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 0% | 78% | 2% | 20% | +48.2 | +9.8 | +1.5 | -59.5 |