Game · 2024-25 Semifinals
4/11 Game 2
Kobayashi Go finished 1st (+61.6pt). The game was decided in South 1: Kobayashi Go tsumo 18,000, which moved Kobayashi Go's expected points by +50.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takamiya Mari ron 5,200 from Setokuma Naoki | 26% | 25% | 26% | 23% | -2.7 | +0.5 | +14.8 | -12.6 |
| East 2 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 1,100 | 23% | 24% | 37% | 17% | +7.4 | -3.3 | -3.6 | -0.6 |
| East 3 | Draw | 27% | 22% | 34% | 18% | -2.9 | +3.0 | -1.7 | +1.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 26% | 22% | 33% | 19% | -2.6 | +30.4 | -1.4 | -26.4 |
| South 1 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 18,000 | 19% | 49% | 27% | 5% | +50.5 | -20.5 | -19.9 | -10.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 70% | 18% | 10% | 2% | -1.6 | +4.4 | -2.8 | 0.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Takamiya Mari | 70% | 20% | 8% | 1% | +11.9 | -4.7 | -6.2 | -0.9 |
| South 3 | Draw | 88% | 7% | 4% | 1% | -2.1 | -1.0 | +4.0 | -0.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 8,000 | 85% | 9% | 5% | 1% | +1.3 | -1.3 | -13.8 | +13.8 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 1,000 from Kobayashi Go | 93% | 5% | 0% | 3% | +2.2 | +2.7 | +5.1 | -9.9 |