Game · 2024-25 Semifinals
4/14 Game 1
Daigo Hiroshi finished 1st (+62.6pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Daigo Hiroshi ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori, which moved Daigo Hiroshi's expected points by +43.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Asami Maki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Asami Maki tsumo 5,200 | 25% | 27% | 23% | 24% | -8.8 | -3.6 | -1.6 | +14.0 |
| East 2 | Asami Maki ron 12,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 19% | 24% | 22% | 35% | -27.9 | -2.9 | -0.5 | +31.3 |
| East 3 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 6,400 from Asami Maki | 6% | 15% | 16% | 63% | +13.6 | -1.7 | -0.9 | -11.0 |
| East 4 | Draw | 10% | 17% | 18% | 55% | -1.7 | -3.0 | +3.7 | +1.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 5,200 | 9% | 15% | 20% | 56% | +13.6 | -4.7 | -0.8 | -8.2 |
| South 1 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 13% | 21% | 49% | -19.9 | +31.8 | -9.2 | -2.7 |
| South 2 | Asami Maki tsumo 2,000 | 5% | 35% | 15% | 45% | -1.4 | -5.7 | -4.0 | +11.2 |
| South 3 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 5,200 | 3% | 25% | 11% | 61% | -5.7 | +28.3 | -11.3 | -11.3 |
| South 4 | Asami Maki ron 3,900 from Shiratori Sho | 0% | 67% | 1% | 31% | +1.1 | -18.1 | -7.3 | +24.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Asami Maki ron 2,900 from Takizawa Kazunori | 0% | 23% | 0% | 77% | -7.0 | -2.4 | +2.8 | +6.5 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 0% | 16% | 0% | 84% | -13.9 | +43.3 | +5.9 | -35.3 |