Game · 2024-25 Semifinal Series
4/14 Game 1
Hiroshi Daigo finished 1st (+62.6pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa, which moved Hiroshi Daigo's expected points by +44.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Maki Asami tsumo 5,200 | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | -7.9 | -4.2 | -4.8 | +16.8 |
| East 2 | Maki Asami ron 12,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 19% | 21% | 22% | 38% | -27.7 | -0.3 | -1.1 | +29.1 |
| East 3 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 6,400 from Maki Asami | 5% | 14% | 16% | 64% | +14.0 | -0.2 | -3.1 | -10.7 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 18% | 15% | 56% | -3.6 | -3.4 | +6.7 | +0.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 5,200 | 9% | 17% | 20% | 55% | +15.5 | -4.2 | -5.1 | -6.1 |
| South 1 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 16% | 19% | 51% | -18.7 | +29.2 | -6.2 | -4.3 |
| South 2 | Maki Asami tsumo 2,000 | 5% | 35% | 15% | 45% | -2.6 | -7.5 | -1.2 | +11.2 |
| South 3 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 5,200 | 3% | 23% | 13% | 61% | -5.6 | +30.2 | -13.2 | -11.4 |
| South 4 | Maki Asami ron 3,900 from Sho Shiratori | 1% | 67% | 1% | 32% | +1.2 | -16.9 | -7.6 | +23.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Maki Asami ron 2,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 1% | 24% | 0% | 75% | -6.2 | -4.4 | +2.8 | +7.8 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 0% | 13% | 0% | 86% | -14.8 | +44.5 | +6.1 | -35.7 |