Game · 2024-25 Semifinal Series
4/15 Game 1
Tomohiro Honda finished 1st (+54.4pt). The game was decided in South 3: Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi, which moved Tomohiro Honda's expected points by +35.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi ron 1,300 from Tomohiro Honda | 24% | 25% | 24% | 27% | -4.5 | +4.4 | +1.8 | -1.8 |
| East 2 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 5,200 from Tomohiro Honda | 22% | 27% | 24% | 26% | -17.2 | -3.4 | +17.8 | +2.8 |
| East 3 | Tomohiro Honda ron 12,000 from Go Kobayashi | 12% | 23% | 38% | 27% | +34.6 | +0.7 | -1.7 | -33.6 |
| East 4 | Go Kobayashi ron 3,900 from Takaharu Ooi | 32% | 23% | 35% | 10% | +0.4 | -10.9 | +1.0 | +9.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 32% | 18% | 36% | 14% | -2.3 | -2.0 | -2.8 | +7.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 32% | 16% | 34% | 18% | -3.7 | +9.2 | +1.8 | -7.4 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 1,000 from Go Kobayashi | 28% | 22% | 37% | 12% | -0.8 | -1.5 | +9.7 | -7.4 |
| South 2 | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 25% | 19% | 46% | 10% | -11.2 | +11.4 | -0.5 | +0.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 4,000 | 18% | 28% | 45% | 9% | -2.5 | -9.6 | +0.8 | +11.3 |
| South 3 | Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 17% | 19% | 49% | 16% | +35.7 | -5.2 | -5.7 | -24.8 |
| South 4 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 2,000 | 49% | 12% | 34% | 4% | +26.2 | -8.6 | -9.7 | -7.8 |