Game · 2024-25 Semifinals
4/15 Game 1
Honda Tomohiro finished 1st (+54.4pt). The game was decided in South 3: Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go, which moved Honda Tomohiro's expected points by +34.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ooi Takaharu ron 1,300 from Honda Tomohiro | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -6.3 | +2.7 | +2.7 | +0.9 |
| East 2 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 5,200 from Honda Tomohiro | 20% | 27% | 26% | 27% | -14.5 | -0.6 | +14.8 | +0.3 |
| East 3 | Honda Tomohiro ron 12,000 from Kobayashi Go | 12% | 25% | 37% | 25% | +32.1 | -0.3 | -1.4 | -30.3 |
| East 4 | Kobayashi Go ron 3,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 30% | 24% | 35% | 11% | +0.9 | -10.6 | -0.8 | +10.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 32% | 17% | 35% | 16% | -0.2 | -2.8 | -2.0 | +5.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 34% | 17% | 32% | 17% | -3.7 | +9.5 | 0.0 | -5.9 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 1,000 from Kobayashi Go | 30% | 23% | 34% | 14% | -3.4 | -1.7 | +12.8 | -7.7 |
| South 2 | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 24% | 20% | 47% | 9% | -8.6 | +10.1 | -0.7 | -0.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 4,000 | 19% | 26% | 46% | 9% | -3.1 | -8.9 | +1.9 | +10.0 |
| South 3 | Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 18% | 20% | 49% | 14% | +34.8 | -5.3 | -6.6 | -22.8 |
| South 4 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 2,000 | 48% | 13% | 34% | 5% | +26.3 | -8.4 | -9.6 | -8.3 |