Game · 2024-25 Semifinals
4/15 Game 2
Nakabayashi Kei finished 1st (+80.2pt). The game was decided in East 4: Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 12,000, which moved Nakabayashi Kei's expected points by +41.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takeuchi Genta ron 2,900 from Nakabayashi Kei | 24% | 23% | 26% | 27% | +9.4 | +3.5 | -12.8 | -0.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 12,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 31% | 26% | 17% | 26% | -1.8 | -31.0 | +2.3 | +30.5 |
| East 2 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 3,200 from Shiratori Sho | 26% | 9% | 16% | 50% | +1.3 | -4.3 | +10.0 | -7.0 |
| East 3 | Hagiwara Masato ron 3,900 from Takeuchi Genta | 27% | 6% | 23% | 44% | -9.7 | +13.0 | -7.4 | +4.2 |
| East 4 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 11% | 18% | 50% | -10.0 | -10.4 | +41.3 | -21.0 |
| South 1 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 13% | 7% | 53% | 27% | -1.5 | -11.9 | +14.4 | -1.0 |
| South 2 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 12,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 6% | 3% | 72% | 19% | 0.0 | -20.1 | +22.4 | -2.3 |
| South 3 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 94% | 6% | -1.0 | -0.8 | +3.1 | -1.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 96% | 4% | -0.7 | -0.8 | +2.9 | -1.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 5,200 from Takeuchi Genta | 0% | 0% | 96% | 4% | -12.5 | -0.1 | -3.0 | +15.5 |
| South 4 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 0% | 94% | 6% | -0.2 | -0.2 | +6.1 | -5.7 |