Game · 2024-25 Semifinal Series
4/17 Game 1
Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+61.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +33.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -19.5 | +33.7 | -8.4 | -5.9 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 51% | 18% | 19% | +7.2 | -1.4 | -3.5 | -2.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki | 15% | 51% | 16% | 18% | +27.7 | -22.4 | -3.8 | -1.5 |
| East 4 | Aiko Hinata ron 3,900 from Yu Suzuki | 36% | 31% | 14% | 18% | -0.5 | -15.7 | +1.2 | +14.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 1,600 from Yu Suzuki | 38% | 20% | 15% | 28% | +3.3 | -4.5 | +3.3 | -2.1 |
| South 1 | Yu Suzuki ron 5,200 from Sayaka Kayamori | 40% | 18% | 18% | 24% | -2.0 | +16.0 | -15.8 | +1.8 |
| South 2 | Yu Suzuki ron 2,900 from Aiko Hinata | 37% | 25% | 11% | 27% | +0.8 | +12.9 | -2.5 | -11.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Aiko Hinata | 38% | 36% | 8% | 18% | +0.9 | +1.9 | +25.7 | -28.5 |
| South 3 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 4,000 | 37% | 38% | 18% | 7% | -7.6 | +24.6 | -10.9 | -6.1 |
| South 4 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 4,000 | 16% | 76% | 4% | 4% | -3.9 | +16.3 | -3.2 | -9.3 |