Game · 2024-25 Semifinals
4/17 Game 1
Suzuki Yu finished 1st (+61.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Suzuki Yu tsumo 12,000, which moved Suzuki Yu's expected points by +33.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 12,000 | 27% | 24% | 25% | 24% | -17.7 | +33.8 | -9.6 | -6.4 |
| East 2 | Draw | 13% | 52% | 17% | 18% | +5.1 | -1.4 | -2.8 | -0.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu | 14% | 52% | 17% | 17% | +26.0 | -22.9 | -2.9 | -0.1 |
| East 4 | Hinata Aiko ron 3,900 from Suzuki Yu | 36% | 29% | 16% | 20% | +1.7 | -14.6 | -0.6 | +13.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 1,600 from Suzuki Yu | 38% | 20% | 15% | 28% | +0.2 | -5.0 | +4.7 | +0.1 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Yu ron 5,200 from Kayamori Sayaka | 39% | 18% | 16% | 28% | -0.2 | +16.2 | -15.4 | -0.6 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Yu ron 2,900 from Hinata Aiko | 37% | 26% | 11% | 26% | -1.9 | +14.2 | -2.0 | -10.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Hinata Aiko | 33% | 40% | 9% | 18% | +4.6 | -0.8 | +25.5 | -29.3 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 4,000 | 38% | 36% | 19% | 7% | -9.2 | +26.6 | -11.8 | -5.7 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 4,000 | 15% | 77% | 4% | 4% | -3.0 | +15.7 | -3.2 | -9.5 |