Game · 2024-25 Semifinal Series
4/17 Game 2
Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+100.7pt). The game was decided in South 3: Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +34.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,900 from Hiroshi Daigo | 24% | 24% | 26% | 25% | +7.5 | -5.6 | -1.6 | -0.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 30% | 21% | 25% | 25% | -17.7 | -8.0 | +32.9 | -7.2 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 15% | 50% | 18% | -3.3 | +6.9 | -1.0 | -2.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 18% | 49% | 18% | -4.8 | -18.3 | +31.1 | -8.0 |
| East 3 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 3,000 | 7% | 5% | 80% | 7% | -1.9 | -1.5 | +4.6 | -1.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 4% | 84% | 6% | -1.2 | -1.0 | +3.3 | -1.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 3% | 87% | 6% | +21.9 | -6.8 | -8.6 | -6.5 |
| East 4 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 3% | 80% | 6% | -3.4 | -2.6 | +14.5 | -8.6 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 1% | 93% | 1% | -4.6 | -1.7 | +0.8 | +5.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 1% | 97% | 1% | -11.3 | +30.5 | -4.3 | -14.9 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 5,800 from Arisa Date | 1% | 4% | 95% | 1% | -0.5 | +12.1 | -1.8 | -9.8 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 1% | 6% | 92% | 1% | -24.5 | +25.0 | -4.7 | +4.2 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 18,000 from Arisa Date | 0% | 19% | 80% | 1% | +6.6 | +39.4 | -18.2 | -27.7 |
| South 2, 5 honba | Arisa Date tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 66% | 34% | 0% | -6.3 | -5.8 | -5.2 | +17.4 |
| South 3 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 70% | 30% | 0% | -4.3 | -26.2 | +34.2 | -3.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 9,600 from Hiroshi Daigo | 0% | 14% | 86% | 0% | -0.6 | -16.8 | +16.7 | +0.6 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 1% | 99% | 0% | -4.3 | -4.4 | +12.9 | -4.1 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +0.9 | +6.5 | -4.5 | -2.9 |
| South 4 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +2.0 | +6.8 | -0.7 | -8.1 |