Game · 2024-25 Semifinals
4/17 Game 2
Suzuki Yu finished 1st (+100.7pt). The game was decided in South 3: Suzuki Yu tsumo 12,000, which moved Suzuki Yu's expected points by +33.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,900 from Daigo Hiroshi | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +8.2 | -6.3 | -1.2 | -0.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 12,000 | 29% | 21% | 25% | 25% | -17.9 | -6.7 | +31.2 | -6.6 |
| East 2 | Draw | 16% | 16% | 49% | 20% | -3.0 | +6.7 | -2.0 | -1.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 19% | 47% | 19% | -5.6 | -18.7 | +32.6 | -8.3 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 3,000 | 6% | 4% | 81% | 9% | -1.5 | -2.9 | +6.3 | -1.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 5% | 3% | 86% | 6% | -1.5 | -1.1 | +3.2 | -0.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 3% | 88% | 6% | +21.1 | -5.8 | -9.8 | -5.5 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 3% | 80% | 6% | -3.6 | -1.5 | +14.6 | -9.5 |
| South 1 | Draw | 4% | 2% | 93% | 1% | -1.9 | -2.1 | +1.1 | +2.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 1% | 97% | 1% | -12.9 | +29.5 | -4.4 | -12.2 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 5,800 from Date Arisa | 1% | 3% | 95% | 1% | -1.1 | +13.6 | -1.7 | -10.9 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 1% | 7% | 92% | 1% | -23.2 | +23.2 | -3.4 | +3.4 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 18,000 from Date Arisa | 0% | 17% | 82% | 0% | +5.6 | +41.9 | -21.7 | -25.8 |
| South 2, 5 honba | Date Arisa tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 70% | 30% | 0% | -5.6 | -8.3 | -2.6 | +16.5 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 67% | 33% | 0% | -4.8 | -24.8 | +33.2 | -3.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 9,600 from Daigo Hiroshi | 0% | 15% | 85% | 0% | +0.5 | -17.2 | +17.3 | -0.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -4.8 | -4.3 | +12.5 | -3.4 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +0.9 | +6.4 | -4.2 | -3.2 |
| South 4 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +1.5 | +6.8 | -0.9 | -7.4 |