Game · 2024-25 Semifinals
4/21 Game 1
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+70.6pt). The game was decided in East 4, 2 honba: Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +27.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 26% | 23% | 26% | +2.7 | -8.1 | +2.3 | +3.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 5,200 | 27% | 20% | 25% | 27% | -13.1 | +19.4 | -2.5 | -3.7 |
| East 2 | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 5,200 | 17% | 34% | 24% | 25% | +16.2 | -9.0 | -4.2 | -3.0 |
| East 3 | Draw | 30% | 26% | 21% | 22% | -1.9 | -1.8 | +5.0 | -1.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 2,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 28% | 25% | 23% | 24% | -2.0 | +1.9 | -8.4 | +8.5 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 3,000 | 25% | 27% | 19% | 29% | -0.9 | -5.7 | -2.8 | +9.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 5,800 from Honda Tomohiro | 25% | 21% | 18% | 36% | -1.2 | +0.6 | -18.9 | +19.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 19% | 7% | 53% | -9.1 | -10.9 | -7.5 | +27.4 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 10% | 8% | 3% | 80% | -2.0 | +10.2 | -8.3 | +0.1 |
| South 1 | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 3,000 | 7% | 10% | 1% | 82% | +6.6 | -3.3 | -1.1 | -2.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,000 from Suzuki Taro | 9% | 10% | 2% | 80% | -2.9 | +3.7 | -0.7 | -0.1 |
| South 2 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 7,800 | 5% | 10% | 2% | 83% | -8.3 | +21.3 | -3.5 | -9.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 1,000 from Takeuchi Genta | 4% | 26% | 2% | 68% | -3.3 | -5.7 | -1.6 | +10.5 |
| South 3 | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,600 from Takeuchi Genta | 2% | 12% | 1% | 86% | -3.9 | +4.8 | -3.5 | +2.5 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 0% | 9% | 0% | 91% | +3.2 | -19.3 | +0.3 | +15.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +29.6 | -18.5 | -3.6 | -7.5 |