Game · 2024-25 Semifinal Series
4/21 Game 1
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+70.6pt). The game was decided in East 4, 2 honba: Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +26.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 23% | 25% | 26% | +2.9 | -5.0 | -1.0 | +3.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 5,200 | 27% | 21% | 24% | 28% | -13.4 | +19.2 | -2.2 | -3.6 |
| East 2 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 5,200 | 18% | 34% | 23% | 25% | +16.5 | -8.2 | -4.9 | -3.4 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 29% | 26% | 20% | 24% | -3.2 | -2.8 | +7.0 | -1.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 2,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 27% | 25% | 25% | 23% | -0.9 | +2.0 | -9.8 | +8.7 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 3,000 | 26% | 26% | 17% | 30% | -1.5 | -4.4 | -3.1 | +9.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 5,800 from Tomohiro Honda | 25% | 23% | 16% | 35% | -1.7 | -2.7 | -15.3 | +19.7 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 18% | 9% | 53% | -8.4 | -9.3 | -9.1 | +26.8 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 9% | 7% | 3% | 81% | -2.0 | +10.1 | -8.8 | +0.7 |
| South 1 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 3,000 | 7% | 9% | 2% | 83% | +6.9 | -3.4 | -1.5 | -2.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,000 from Taro Suzuki | 9% | 8% | 2% | 81% | -3.4 | +5.2 | -1.0 | -0.8 |
| South 2 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 7,800 | 6% | 11% | 1% | 83% | -8.2 | +21.3 | -4.9 | -8.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 1,000 from Genta Takeuchi | 4% | 25% | 1% | 70% | -2.5 | -6.5 | +0.2 | +8.8 |
| South 3 | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,600 from Genta Takeuchi | 2% | 13% | 1% | 84% | -4.4 | +4.5 | -3.5 | +3.3 |
| South 4 | Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 0% | 8% | 0% | 92% | +3.6 | -19.4 | +0.4 | +15.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +29.0 | -18.2 | -3.5 | -7.4 |