Game · 2024-25 Semifinal Series
4/21 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+56.2pt). The game was decided in East 1: Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Kazunori Takizawa, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +28.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +28.8 | +0.9 | -28.3 | -1.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 46% | 22% | 10% | 21% | +3.1 | -2.6 | +1.5 | -2.0 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Genta Takeuchi ron 2,600 from Ken Sonoda | 49% | 20% | 10% | 21% | -8.2 | -2.1 | -2.5 | +12.8 |
| East 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 2,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 42% | 21% | 9% | 29% | +8.4 | -10.1 | 0.0 | +1.7 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 50% | 13% | 9% | 29% | +6.2 | -2.9 | -4.7 | +1.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 1,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 56% | 11% | 6% | 28% | +0.9 | +5.5 | -3.3 | -3.0 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 58% | 12% | 5% | 25% | +8.3 | -2.6 | -3.1 | -2.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,600 from Tomohiro Honda | 68% | 9% | 3% | 20% | -0.6 | -9.2 | +8.5 | +1.3 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 70% | 6% | 5% | 20% | +1.2 | -7.1 | +2.2 | +3.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 8,000 | 74% | 1% | 5% | 19% | -10.6 | -1.6 | -14.0 | +26.1 |
| South 4 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 4,000 | 51% | 0% | 0% | 49% | +18.9 | -14.6 | +18.7 | -23.0 |