Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2024-25 Semifinals

4/21 Game 2

Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+56.2pt). The game was decided in East 1: Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Takizawa Kazunori, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +27.9.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 1End● Sonoda Ken● Honda Tomohiro● Takizawa Kazunori● Takeuchi Genta0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Sonoda● Honda● Takizawa● Takeuchi
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultSonoda Ken
1st-place chance
Honda Tomohiro
1st-place chance
Takizawa Kazunori
1st-place chance
Takeuchi Genta
1st-place chance
Sonoda Ken
Expected pt change
Honda Tomohiro
Expected pt change
Takizawa Kazunori
Expected pt change
Takeuchi Genta
Expected pt change
East 1Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Takizawa Kazunori27%23%26%25%+27.9+2.4-28.9-1.4
East 1, 1 honbaDraw47%21%9%22%+1.6-2.0+2.6-2.1
East 1, 2 honbaTakeuchi Genta ron 2,600 from Sonoda Ken47%21%11%21%-10.0-4.0+0.6+13.4
East 2Sonoda Ken ron 2,000 from Honda Tomohiro39%19%12%30%+11.1-9.1-2.2+0.3
East 3Draw50%11%10%29%+7.4-0.1-8.7+1.5
East 4, 1 honbaHonda Tomohiro ron 1,000 from Takizawa Kazunori57%11%5%27%+0.2+3.8-2.8-1.2
South 1Draw59%11%4%25%+4.7-2.0-0.8-1.9
South 1, 1 honbaTakizawa Kazunori ron 2,600 from Honda Tomohiro64%10%4%22%+3.5-10.3+6.3+0.5
South 2Draw71%5%5%19%-0.8-5.7+3.0+3.5
South 3, 1 honbaTakeuchi Genta tsumo 8,00073%1%6%20%-9.8-2.8-13.2+25.8
South 4Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 4,00051%0%0%49%+18.9-14.5+18.2-22.6

All 2024-25 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)