Game · 2024-25 Semifinals
4/22 Game 1
Asami Maki finished 1st (+57.2pt). The game was decided in East 1: Asami Maki tsumo 8,000, which moved Asami Maki's expected points by +21.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Asami Maki tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 26% | 26% | 24% | -13.2 | -7.0 | +21.3 | -1.1 |
| East 2 | Asami Maki ron 3,900 from Kobayashi Go | 15% | 21% | 41% | 24% | +1.7 | -15.8 | +15.4 | -1.3 |
| East 3 | Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 14% | 11% | 56% | 19% | +25.7 | -21.5 | -3.6 | -0.6 |
| East 4 | Asami Maki tsumo 5,200 | 29% | 4% | 50% | 18% | -3.8 | -0.5 | +15.1 | -10.8 |
| South 1 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Takamiya Mari | 21% | 3% | 67% | 8% | -10.3 | +1.5 | +7.0 | +1.8 |
| South 2 | Takeuchi Genta ron 2,000 from Asami Maki | 9% | 3% | 80% | 7% | +2.6 | -6.5 | -2.4 | +6.3 |
| South 3 | Takamiya Mari ron 3,900 from Asami Maki | 10% | 0% | 80% | 10% | +11.6 | -1.5 | -6.7 | -3.4 |
| South 4 | Draw | 16% | 0% | 75% | 10% | -0.9 | -1.8 | +11.3 | -8.6 |