Game · 2024-25 Semifinal Series
4/22 Game 1
Maki Asami finished 1st (+57.2pt). The game was decided in East 1: Maki Asami tsumo 8,000, which moved Maki Asami's expected points by +21.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Maki Asami tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 23% | 26% | 25% | -13.6 | -3.5 | +21.3 | -4.3 |
| East 2 | Maki Asami ron 3,900 from Go Kobayashi | 16% | 21% | 41% | 22% | +0.7 | -16.4 | +12.4 | +3.2 |
| East 3 | Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 14% | 10% | 53% | 22% | +25.2 | -18.8 | -1.1 | -5.3 |
| East 4 | Maki Asami tsumo 5,200 | 28% | 4% | 51% | 17% | -5.9 | -2.7 | +17.1 | -8.5 |
| South 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Mari Takamiya | 18% | 3% | 71% | 8% | -6.1 | +2.4 | +2.0 | +1.7 |
| South 2 | Genta Takeuchi ron 2,000 from Maki Asami | 12% | 3% | 77% | 8% | +0.1 | -6.3 | +0.4 | +5.8 |
| South 3 | Mari Takamiya ron 3,900 from Maki Asami | 8% | 0% | 81% | 10% | +13.8 | -2.3 | -8.8 | -2.7 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 0% | 72% | 10% | -2.1 | -1.8 | +12.8 | -8.9 |