Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2024-25 Semifinals

4/24 Game 1

Takeuchi Genta finished 1st (+59.1pt). The game was decided in East 3, 2 honba: Takeuchi Genta tsumo 5,200, which moved Takeuchi Genta's expected points by +22.1.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Takeuchi Genta● Sonoda Ken● Matsumoto Yoshihiro● Kurosawa Saki0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Takeuchi● Sonoda● Matsumoto● Kurosawa
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultTakeuchi Genta
1st-place chance
Sonoda Ken
1st-place chance
Matsumoto Yoshihiro
1st-place chance
Kurosawa Saki
1st-place chance
Takeuchi Genta
Expected pt change
Sonoda Ken
Expected pt change
Matsumoto Yoshihiro
Expected pt change
Kurosawa Saki
Expected pt change
East 1Takeuchi Genta ron 4,800 from Kurosawa Saki25%24%26%26%+12.5+1.9-1.9-12.5
East 1, 1 honbaSonoda Ken ron 3,200 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro35%25%23%18%+0.8+5.4-7.7+1.6
East 2Draw35%27%19%19%-4.4+7.3+1.4-4.3
East 2, 1 honbaDraw31%34%20%15%-0.5-3.3-3.4+7.1
East 3, 2 honbaTakeuchi Genta tsumo 5,20031%30%19%20%+22.1-4.1-13.2-4.8
East 4Sonoda Ken tsumo 4,00052%24%9%16%-5.0+18.8-4.5-9.4
South 1Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 5,200 from Kurosawa Saki44%40%8%9%+0.4-2.3+15.4-13.4
South 2Sonoda Ken ron 2,900 from Kurosawa Saki46%37%12%6%-3.2+12.1-3.5-5.5
South 2, 1 honbaKurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro38%50%8%4%+2.3-0.4-21.3+19.3
South 3Takeuchi Genta tsumo 4,00039%50%5%6%+18.2-9.1-9.7+0.6
South 4Takeuchi Genta ron 1,000 from Kurosawa Saki68%27%0%5%+14.4-8.6-2.7-3.2

All 2024-25 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)