Game · 2024-25 Semifinal Series
4/24 Game 1
Genta Takeuchi finished 1st (+59.1pt). The game was decided in East 3, 2 honba: Genta Takeuchi tsumo 5,200, which moved Genta Takeuchi's expected points by +20.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Genta Takeuchi ron 4,800 from Saki Kurosawa | 25% | 24% | 24% | 27% | +13.8 | +0.8 | +0.5 | -15.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 3,200 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 33% | 24% | 24% | 19% | +0.5 | +9.3 | -7.7 | -2.1 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 34% | 30% | 20% | 16% | -3.7 | +4.8 | +1.8 | -2.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 31% | 34% | 20% | 16% | -0.2 | -4.3 | -3.9 | +8.4 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 5,200 | 32% | 30% | 18% | 20% | +20.7 | -2.3 | -12.2 | -6.2 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 4,000 | 49% | 25% | 10% | 15% | -3.5 | +17.1 | -6.0 | -7.5 |
| South 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 5,200 from Saki Kurosawa | 44% | 39% | 8% | 8% | +1.9 | -2.5 | +15.7 | -15.1 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 2,900 from Saki Kurosawa | 48% | 36% | 12% | 5% | -3.0 | +11.0 | -3.4 | -4.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 40% | 48% | 9% | 3% | +1.4 | +0.8 | -22.3 | +20.1 |
| South 3 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 4,000 | 40% | 50% | 3% | 6% | +17.6 | -8.0 | -8.8 | -0.9 |
| South 4 | Genta Takeuchi ron 1,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 67% | 29% | 0% | 4% | +14.5 | -9.7 | -2.5 | -2.2 |