Game · 2024-25 Semifinal Series
4/24 Game 2
Sayaka Kayamori finished 1st (+61.3pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000, which moved Sayaka Kayamori's expected points by +31.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 7,800 | 26% | 24% | 23% | 27% | +22.7 | -6.2 | -8.1 | -8.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 41% | 20% | 18% | 20% | -1.2 | -0.7 | +21.4 | -19.5 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 7,700 from Takaharu Ooi | 39% | 18% | 31% | 12% | -22.8 | +22.0 | +0.8 | 0.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 34% | 33% | 11% | -11.2 | +31.1 | -12.9 | -7.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 62% | 19% | 7% | -4.6 | -8.9 | -6.2 | +19.6 |
| East 3 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 56% | 18% | 15% | +22.0 | -0.6 | -15.4 | -5.9 |
| East 4 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 3,900 from Masato Hagiwara | 22% | 56% | 9% | 12% | +1.0 | +11.4 | -9.8 | -2.7 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 69% | 5% | 7% | -19.5 | -6.2 | -9.4 | +35.1 |
| South 2 | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 8% | 63% | 3% | 26% | -23.8 | +2.3 | +20.5 | +1.1 |
| South 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 1% | 69% | 7% | 23% | +30.6 | +4.3 | -32.5 | -2.4 |
| South 4 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 3,000 | 5% | 78% | 0% | 17% | -4.9 | -4.1 | -2.1 | +11.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 3,900 from Takaharu Ooi | 3% | 71% | 0% | 27% | -7.9 | +17.7 | +0.1 | -9.8 |