Game · 2024-25 Semifinals
4/24 Game 2
Kayamori Sayaka finished 1st (+61.3pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000, which moved Kayamori Sayaka's expected points by +29.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 7,800 | 27% | 24% | 23% | 26% | +22.2 | -4.6 | -9.9 | -7.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 43% | 21% | 18% | 19% | -3.3 | -2.3 | +24.4 | -18.8 |
| East 2 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 7,700 from Ooi Takaharu | 39% | 18% | 32% | 11% | -22.9 | +23.4 | -0.6 | +0.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 35% | 32% | 12% | -11.1 | +29.3 | -11.5 | -6.8 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 61% | 20% | 7% | -3.2 | -8.1 | -8.3 | +19.6 |
| East 3 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 56% | 17% | 14% | +24.2 | -2.7 | -17.0 | -4.6 |
| East 4 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 25% | 54% | 9% | 12% | -1.1 | +12.7 | -8.2 | -3.4 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 67% | 5% | 8% | -21.0 | -6.2 | -8.8 | +36.1 |
| South 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 8% | 61% | 3% | 28% | -22.6 | +2.9 | +19.2 | +0.5 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 1% | 68% | 7% | 24% | +30.0 | +4.2 | -31.4 | -2.8 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 3,000 | 6% | 77% | 0% | 18% | -4.3 | -3.4 | -2.3 | +10.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 3,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 4% | 72% | 0% | 25% | -8.3 | +17.2 | +0.2 | -9.2 |