Game · 2024-25 Semifinal Series
4/25 Game 1
Akina Mizuhara finished 1st (+70.3pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Akina Mizuhara tsumo 12,000, which moved Akina Mizuhara's expected points by +34.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 5,200 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -9.0 | -3.0 | +14.2 | -2.2 |
| East 2 | Hisato Sasaki ron 3,200 from Aiko Hinata | 19% | 22% | 36% | 23% | +0.5 | -11.2 | -0.1 | +10.8 |
| East 3 | Naoki Setokuma ron 2,600 from Akina Mizuhara | 19% | 16% | 34% | 31% | +7.2 | +0.5 | -8.6 | +0.9 |
| East 4 | Akina Mizuhara ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 23% | 15% | 29% | 33% | -22.6 | +0.7 | +24.8 | -2.9 |
| South 1 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 10% | 14% | 51% | 25% | -19.1 | -7.4 | -11.0 | +37.5 |
| South 2 | Naoki Setokuma ron 2,600 from Aiko Hinata | 1% | 7% | 29% | 63% | +6.3 | -13.2 | +2.6 | +4.3 |
| South 3 | Akina Mizuhara ron 2,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 1% | 1% | 27% | 72% | -5.7 | +1.8 | +4.1 | -0.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 1% | 31% | 68% | -4.8 | -4.4 | +34.4 | -25.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 82% | 17% | -5.2 | +5.4 | -1.1 | +0.8 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 2,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 0% | 0% | 85% | 15% | -3.5 | +4.0 | +10.4 | -10.9 |