Game · 2024-25 Semifinal Series
4/25 Game 2
Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+83.2pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +29.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yu Suzuki ron 12,000 from Arisa Date | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | +27.5 | -0.5 | -28.5 | +1.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 46% | 20% | 10% | 24% | +29.7 | -13.3 | -5.7 | -10.8 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 74% | 10% | 5% | 11% | +4.3 | -1.3 | -0.1 | -2.8 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 3,900 from Yu Suzuki | 77% | 10% | 5% | 9% | -11.2 | +0.8 | -2.8 | +13.2 |
| East 2 | Sho Shiratori ron 5,200 from Tomohiro Honda | 67% | 11% | 5% | 17% | +0.9 | -16.4 | -2.3 | +17.8 |
| East 3 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 68% | 3% | 4% | 25% | +15.3 | -1.3 | -7.9 | -6.1 |
| East 4 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000 | 82% | 2% | 1% | 15% | -10.2 | -7.1 | -4.5 | +21.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000 | 66% | 1% | 1% | 31% | -0.8 | +16.0 | -7.9 | -7.2 |
| South 1 | Yu Suzuki ron 3,900 from Tomohiro Honda | 69% | 3% | 1% | 27% | +7.9 | -7.0 | +1.0 | -1.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 5,200 from Sho Shiratori | 77% | 2% | 0% | 20% | +3.8 | +9.7 | -2.3 | -11.1 |
| South 2 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 2,000 | 88% | 2% | 0% | 10% | +4.3 | -3.8 | -0.8 | +0.3 |
| South 3 | Yu Suzuki ron 3,900 from Tomohiro Honda | 93% | 0% | 0% | 7% | +7.0 | -3.3 | -2.9 | -0.8 |
| South 4 | Yu Suzuki ron 2,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 97% | 0% | 0% | 3% | +3.4 | -1.4 | +0.2 | -2.2 |