Game · 2024-25 Semifinals
4/25 Game 2
Suzuki Yu finished 1st (+83.2pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Suzuki Yu tsumo 12,000, which moved Suzuki Yu's expected points by +29.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Yu ron 12,000 from Date Arisa | 26% | 23% | 25% | 26% | +28.1 | +0.4 | -28.5 | 0.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 12,000 | 46% | 22% | 10% | 22% | +29.6 | -12.2 | -7.4 | -9.9 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Draw | 73% | 10% | 5% | 12% | +3.2 | -0.1 | -0.4 | -2.7 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Suzuki Yu | 75% | 10% | 6% | 10% | -8.1 | -1.9 | -2.9 | +12.9 |
| East 2 | Shiratori Sho ron 5,200 from Honda Tomohiro | 70% | 9% | 4% | 16% | +0.4 | -15.6 | -1.0 | +16.2 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 8,000 | 68% | 4% | 4% | 24% | +15.3 | -1.2 | -9.1 | -5.0 |
| East 4 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000 | 84% | 2% | 1% | 13% | -11.4 | -7.9 | -5.1 | +24.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 64% | 1% | 1% | 34% | -1.9 | +16.0 | -6.5 | -7.6 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Yu ron 3,900 from Honda Tomohiro | 67% | 3% | 1% | 29% | +9.9 | -6.9 | +0.5 | -3.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 5,200 from Shiratori Sho | 78% | 2% | 0% | 19% | +3.7 | +10.3 | -2.5 | -11.5 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 2,000 | 88% | 2% | 0% | 10% | +4.0 | -3.7 | -1.1 | +0.9 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Yu ron 3,900 from Honda Tomohiro | 93% | 0% | 0% | 7% | +7.0 | -3.8 | -2.2 | -1.0 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Yu ron 2,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 97% | 0% | 0% | 3% | +3.3 | -1.3 | +0.1 | -2.1 |