Game · 2024-25 Semifinal Series
4/28 Game 1
Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+59.6pt). The game was decided in South 1: Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +38.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 27% | +28.5 | -10.4 | -7.2 | -10.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 8,000 | 46% | 17% | 19% | 19% | -11.8 | -8.0 | +25.5 | -5.8 |
| East 2 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 4,000 | 35% | 12% | 37% | 16% | -2.3 | -6.7 | +12.6 | -3.5 |
| East 3 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 31% | 8% | 48% | 13% | -2.2 | -5.4 | -11.4 | +19.0 |
| East 4 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 3,900 | 31% | 7% | 39% | 23% | -5.8 | -2.8 | -4.5 | +13.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 3,900 from Mari Takamiya | 26% | 7% | 33% | 34% | +11.5 | -9.0 | +0.9 | -3.5 |
| South 1 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000 | 36% | 4% | 32% | 28% | -20.8 | -6.7 | -10.4 | +38.0 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 2% | 17% | 71% | +0.7 | +3.9 | -1.4 | -3.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 1,500 | 12% | 2% | 19% | 66% | -0.8 | -6.7 | -4.1 | +11.6 |
| South 3 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 0% | 10% | 83% | -5.1 | +14.0 | -12.2 | +3.3 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 0% | 1% | 96% | -8.6 | -7.2 | +16.2 | -0.5 |