Game · 2024-25 Semifinals
4/28 Game 1
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+59.6pt). The game was decided in South 1: Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +39.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 25% | 27% | 25% | +30.3 | -10.6 | -9.9 | -9.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 8,000 | 47% | 16% | 19% | 18% | -13.9 | -6.5 | +25.0 | -4.5 |
| East 2 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 4,000 | 35% | 14% | 36% | 15% | -0.6 | -7.0 | +13.4 | -5.8 |
| East 3 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 32% | 9% | 48% | 11% | -2.5 | -9.1 | -10.2 | +21.8 |
| East 4 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 3,900 | 31% | 7% | 39% | 23% | -7.0 | +1.1 | -3.9 | +9.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 3,900 from Takamiya Mari | 26% | 9% | 34% | 32% | +13.3 | -10.8 | 0.0 | -2.5 |
| South 1 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 36% | 4% | 33% | 27% | -23.3 | -5.2 | -10.9 | +39.4 |
| South 2 | Draw | 10% | 2% | 17% | 71% | +3.4 | +1.9 | -3.0 | -2.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 1,500 | 13% | 3% | 17% | 68% | -1.4 | -6.0 | -1.9 | +9.3 |
| South 3 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 0% | 11% | 82% | -5.2 | +13.5 | -12.7 | +4.5 |
| South 4 | Draw | 2% | 0% | 1% | 97% | -9.0 | -7.0 | +16.3 | -0.3 |