Game · 2024-25 Semifinals
4/28 Game 2
Asai Takaki finished 1st (+50.0pt). The game was decided in South 4: Asai Takaki ron 3,900 from Shiratori Sho, which moved Asai Takaki's expected points by +28.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Asai Takaki 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Asai Takaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 6,400 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -14.3 | -4.9 | +21.7 | -2.5 |
| East 2 | Draw | 15% | 21% | 41% | 22% | +0.5 | -4.5 | -1.0 | +5.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 18% | 41% | 25% | -7.0 | +28.3 | -16.9 | -4.4 |
| East 4 | Asai Takaki ron 2,900 from Shiratori Sho | 13% | 39% | 26% | 22% | -0.9 | -0.8 | -7.4 | +9.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 5,200 | 12% | 39% | 20% | 28% | +15.9 | -3.3 | -4.0 | -8.6 |
| South 1 | Asai Takaki tsumo 5,200 | 21% | 35% | 20% | 24% | -11.7 | -0.7 | -8.5 | +20.9 |
| South 2 | Sasaki Hisato ron 3,900 from Shiratori Sho | 12% | 34% | 14% | 39% | +13.4 | -2.1 | -14.0 | +2.7 |
| South 3 | Draw | 19% | 31% | 8% | 42% | -2.4 | -2.4 | +7.7 | -2.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 1,500 from Sasaki Hisato | 19% | 30% | 13% | 38% | -12.9 | -0.4 | +12.8 | +0.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 5,800 from Asai Takaki | 12% | 30% | 19% | 39% | +0.3 | +0.8 | +30.5 | -31.6 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Asai Takaki tsumo 4,000 | 11% | 30% | 42% | 17% | -9.7 | -9.9 | -2.4 | +22.0 |
| South 4 | Asai Takaki ron 3,900 from Shiratori Sho | 10% | 22% | 41% | 27% | +0.4 | -0.6 | -28.1 | +28.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 2,000 | 8% | 14% | 11% | 67% | -13.3 | +8.0 | -7.1 | +12.5 |