Game · 2024-25 Semifinal Series
4/28 Game 2
Takaki Asai finished 1st (+50.0pt). The game was decided in South 4: Takaki Asai ron 3,900 from Sho Shiratori, which moved Takaki Asai's expected points by +30.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Takaki Asai 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Takaki Asai Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 6,400 | 26% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -14.5 | -4.6 | +20.0 | -0.9 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 21% | 39% | 23% | -1.5 | -3.1 | -0.3 | +4.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 19% | 39% | 28% | -4.1 | +27.3 | -14.0 | -9.2 |
| East 4 | Takaki Asai ron 2,900 from Sho Shiratori | 13% | 39% | 28% | 20% | -1.4 | -1.5 | -9.6 | +12.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 5,200 | 13% | 37% | 20% | 30% | +15.1 | -1.7 | -2.7 | -10.7 |
| South 1 | Takaki Asai tsumo 5,200 | 19% | 38% | 19% | 23% | -11.9 | -2.5 | -8.0 | +22.3 |
| South 2 | Hisato Sasaki ron 3,900 from Sho Shiratori | 12% | 33% | 15% | 39% | +13.0 | -0.4 | -13.2 | +0.7 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 32% | 10% | 39% | -0.7 | -1.5 | +3.6 | -1.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 1,500 from Hisato Sasaki | 20% | 31% | 11% | 38% | -11.4 | -2.0 | +12.7 | +0.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 5,800 from Takaki Asai | 14% | 30% | 16% | 40% | -1.4 | +0.6 | +33.2 | -32.5 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Takaki Asai tsumo 4,000 | 12% | 30% | 42% | 16% | -10.1 | -9.9 | -2.0 | +22.0 |
| South 4 | Takaki Asai ron 3,900 from Sho Shiratori | 9% | 22% | 43% | 26% | -0.7 | -0.9 | -28.9 | +30.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 2,000 | 7% | 13% | 11% | 70% | -12.2 | +8.4 | -7.2 | +11.0 |