Game · 2024-25 Semifinal Series
4/29 Game 2
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+49.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +63.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi ron 1,300 from Taro Suzuki | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -0.3 | +3.2 | -4.0 | +1.1 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 28% | 23% | 25% | +3.0 | -4.1 | -1.7 | +2.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 4,000 | 27% | 24% | 21% | 28% | -3.6 | +14.9 | -8.8 | -2.4 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 2,000 | 24% | 36% | 16% | 25% | -0.8 | +7.8 | -1.5 | -5.5 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 22% | 43% | 15% | 20% | -1.2 | -41.2 | +40.4 | +1.9 |
| South 2 | Hisato Sasaki ron 3,200 from Takaharu Ooi | 20% | 13% | 45% | 22% | -3.5 | -14.5 | +3.7 | +14.3 |
| South 3 | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,000 from Go Kobayashi | 16% | 5% | 50% | 29% | -7.6 | -4.4 | +6.0 | +6.0 |
| South 4 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 2% | 62% | 27% | +63.7 | -7.1 | -24.4 | -32.2 |