Game · 2024-25 Semifinals
5/1 Game 1
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+54.2pt). The game was decided in South 3: Kurosawa Saki tsumo 18,000, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +51.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 3,900 from Kurosawa Saki | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -1.7 | +10.6 | -8.9 | +0.1 |
| East 2 | Draw | 24% | 32% | 19% | 25% | +6.5 | -3.1 | -3.2 | -0.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 29% | 28% | 18% | 26% | -2.1 | +1.2 | +6.1 | -5.2 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 3,900 from Takeuchi Genta | 28% | 29% | 22% | 21% | -17.6 | +0.5 | -9.8 | +26.9 |
| East 4 | Takeuchi Genta ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu | 15% | 29% | 14% | 42% | +25.8 | +2.3 | -0.4 | -27.7 |
| South 1 | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 12,000 | 34% | 32% | 15% | 20% | +35.5 | -15.4 | -9.1 | -10.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 16,000 | 71% | 13% | 7% | 9% | -26.7 | -13.3 | -11.1 | +51.1 |
| South 2 | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 4,000 | 34% | 9% | 5% | 52% | +19.6 | -8.6 | -3.9 | -7.1 |
| South 3 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 18,000 | 60% | 1% | 3% | 35% | -15.3 | -19.3 | +51.3 | -16.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 45% | 1% | 27% | 27% | +6.2 | +1.4 | +2.4 | -10.0 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 2,700 | 54% | 1% | 25% | 20% | +3.3 | -3.5 | -8.4 | +8.6 |
| South 4 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 5,200 | 62% | 0% | 15% | 23% | -23.9 | -2.6 | +49.8 | -23.4 |