Game · 2024-25 Semifinal Series
5/1 Game 1
Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+54.2pt). The game was decided in South 3: Saki Kurosawa tsumo 18,000, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +49.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 3,900 from Saki Kurosawa | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -0.6 | +9.5 | -8.6 | -0.3 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 30% | 21% | 25% | +5.2 | -3.0 | -1.7 | -0.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 28% | 28% | 19% | 26% | -3.1 | +4.0 | +1.6 | -2.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 3,900 from Genta Takeuchi | 25% | 31% | 20% | 24% | -16.8 | -0.9 | -8.0 | +25.6 |
| East 4 | Genta Takeuchi ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki | 14% | 30% | 14% | 42% | +26.2 | +0.1 | +1.2 | -27.6 |
| South 1 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 12,000 | 33% | 30% | 15% | 22% | +36.1 | -11.3 | -11.6 | -13.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 16,000 | 70% | 15% | 6% | 8% | -26.5 | -15.3 | -10.7 | +52.5 |
| South 2 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 4,000 | 34% | 9% | 4% | 53% | +17.2 | -8.9 | -3.0 | -5.3 |
| South 3 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 18,000 | 57% | 1% | 3% | 39% | -12.1 | -19.8 | +49.9 | -18.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 47% | 1% | 24% | 28% | +2.5 | +2.6 | +6.0 | -11.1 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 2,700 | 49% | 1% | 29% | 20% | +6.9 | -4.2 | -10.0 | +7.3 |
| South 4 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 5,200 | 64% | 0% | 15% | 21% | -24.7 | -2.7 | +49.4 | -22.0 |