Game · 2024-25 Semifinals
5/1 Game 2
Daigo Hiroshi finished 1st (+57.9pt). The game was decided in South 1: Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 16,000, which moved Daigo Hiroshi's expected points by +48.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 2,700 | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -7.2 | -5.5 | +12.6 | +0.1 |
| East 2 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 7,700 from Nakabayashi Kei | 20% | 21% | 33% | 25% | +0.5 | +24.0 | -25.5 | +1.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 2,000 | 21% | 38% | 17% | 24% | -3.3 | -3.3 | -1.4 | +8.0 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 4,000 | 17% | 35% | 18% | 30% | -2.9 | -1.7 | -8.0 | +12.6 |
| East 4 | Draw | 16% | 33% | 11% | 40% | -2.1 | -1.5 | -2.3 | +6.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 2,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 14% | 30% | 10% | 46% | +1.0 | -3.4 | -5.7 | +8.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 3,900 from Daigo Hiroshi | 13% | 26% | 7% | 54% | +10.6 | -11.5 | -1.1 | +2.0 |
| South 1 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 16,000 | 19% | 17% | 7% | 57% | -24.4 | +48.9 | -7.8 | -16.7 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 1,100 | 3% | 65% | 4% | 28% | -1.2 | -1.3 | -2.7 | +5.2 |
| South 3 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 65% | 3% | 31% | +16.4 | +2.7 | -12.9 | -6.2 |
| South 4 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 5,200 from Honda Tomohiro | 4% | 76% | 0% | 20% | -9.6 | +11.0 | +5.6 | -7.0 |