Game · 2024-25 Semifinal Series
5/1 Game 2
Hiroshi Daigo finished 1st (+57.9pt). The game was decided in South 1: Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 16,000, which moved Hiroshi Daigo's expected points by +49.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 2,700 | 24% | 25% | 23% | 28% | -5.9 | +0.3 | +11.4 | -5.8 |
| East 2 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 7,700 from Kei Nakabayashi | 21% | 25% | 32% | 22% | +1.2 | +18.6 | -21.2 | +1.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 2,000 | 21% | 39% | 18% | 23% | -5.2 | -1.8 | -3.2 | +10.3 |
| East 3 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 4,000 | 17% | 37% | 16% | 31% | -2.2 | -2.5 | -9.5 | +14.2 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 34% | 9% | 42% | -1.1 | -3.3 | +0.5 | +3.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 2,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 14% | 30% | 11% | 45% | -0.7 | -1.1 | -7.0 | +8.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 3,900 from Hiroshi Daigo | 13% | 27% | 6% | 54% | +12.5 | -14.1 | -0.6 | +2.2 |
| South 1 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 16,000 | 19% | 16% | 6% | 59% | -25.4 | +49.7 | -8.6 | -15.7 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 1,100 | 3% | 65% | 3% | 30% | -0.8 | -0.8 | -1.3 | +2.8 |
| South 3 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 66% | 2% | 31% | +16.8 | +2.3 | -12.9 | -6.2 |
| South 4 | Kei Nakabayashi ron 5,200 from Tomohiro Honda | 4% | 75% | 0% | 20% | -10.0 | +11.1 | +5.5 | -6.6 |