Game · 2025-26 Finals
5/4 Game 1
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+61.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +45.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 18,000 | 28% | 25% | 24% | 24% | +41.9 | -14.0 | -14.7 | -13.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 8,000 | 61% | 14% | 12% | 13% | -9.7 | +18.5 | -4.4 | -4.5 |
| East 2 | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,600 from Nikaido Aki | 53% | 24% | 12% | 11% | -5.2 | -1.1 | +6.7 | -0.4 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Aki ron 1,300 from Setokuma Naoki | 48% | 24% | 15% | 13% | +7.4 | -3.1 | -3.1 | -1.1 |
| East 4 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 16,000 | 57% | 21% | 11% | 11% | -17.0 | -11.4 | +51.1 | -22.7 |
| South 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,600 from Suzuki Daisuke | 33% | 12% | 51% | 3% | -2.0 | -1.3 | +7.2 | -3.9 |
| South 2 | Sasaki Hisato ron 3,900 from Suzuki Daisuke | 28% | 10% | 60% | 2% | -2.6 | -5.4 | +13.9 | -5.9 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 2,000 | 17% | 2% | 80% | 1% | +0.4 | -1.3 | -0.2 | +1.1 |
| South 4 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 1% | 84% | 1% | +45.7 | -2.2 | -34.9 | -8.5 |