Game · 2025-26 Final Series
5/4 Game 1
Aki Nikaido finished 1st (+61.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000, which moved Aki Nikaido's expected points by +46.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 18,000 | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | +42.8 | -16.4 | -13.5 | -13.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 8,000 | 62% | 11% | 14% | 13% | -11.6 | +20.2 | -3.3 | -5.3 |
| East 2 | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,600 from Aki Nikaido | 50% | 23% | 14% | 13% | -3.0 | -1.0 | +5.5 | -1.4 |
| East 3 | Aki Nikaido ron 1,300 from Naoki Setokuma | 48% | 22% | 17% | 13% | +8.9 | -2.8 | -5.0 | -1.1 |
| East 4 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 16,000 | 59% | 19% | 11% | 11% | -17.2 | -10.4 | +48.1 | -20.6 |
| South 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,600 from Daisuke Suzuki | 37% | 13% | 46% | 4% | -1.8 | -1.8 | +9.2 | -5.6 |
| South 2 | Hisato Sasaki ron 3,900 from Daisuke Suzuki | 30% | 10% | 59% | 2% | -3.8 | -4.1 | +14.3 | -6.4 |
| South 3 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 2,000 | 18% | 3% | 78% | 1% | -1.2 | -2.5 | +1.0 | +2.7 |
| South 4 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 1% | 86% | 1% | +46.7 | -2.0 | -35.1 | -9.6 |