Game · 2025-26 Finals
5/4 Game 2
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+87.9pt). The game was decided in East 2: Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +27.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shimoishi Geki 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Shimoishi Geki Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -13.6 | +24.7 | -4.3 | -6.9 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 45% | 21% | 19% | -10.3 | +27.9 | -9.1 | -8.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 18,000 from Shimoishi Geki | 7% | 70% | 12% | 11% | -31.8 | +27.2 | +2.0 | +2.5 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Shimoishi Geki | 1% | 90% | 5% | 5% | -13.8 | -1.0 | -5.2 | +20.0 |
| East 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 2,700 | 0% | 88% | 3% | 9% | -0.4 | +0.2 | -3.1 | +3.4 |
| East 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 3,900 | 0% | 90% | 1% | 8% | -2.8 | -3.9 | -2.3 | +9.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 85% | 1% | 14% | -3.9 | -0.1 | +13.4 | -9.4 |
| South 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 3,900 from Shimoishi Geki | 0% | 88% | 3% | 8% | -5.0 | +0.6 | -3.1 | +7.5 |
| South 2 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 3,000 | 0% | 90% | 2% | 8% | -1.3 | +4.0 | -0.7 | -2.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 92% | 2% | 6% | -0.9 | +4.6 | -1.4 | -2.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 0% | 94% | 1% | 4% | -0.7 | +3.6 | -2.5 | -0.4 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 96% | 1% | 3% | -2.2 | -7.3 | -3.8 | +13.3 |
| South 3 | Hagiwara Masato ron 5,800 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 0% | 91% | 1% | 8% | +0.3 | +0.8 | +8.0 | -9.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 0% | 94% | 2% | 4% | +0.4 | +0.4 | -12.4 | +11.7 |
| South 4 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 2,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 0% | 93% | 0% | 7% | -0.3 | +6.1 | +0.7 | -6.5 |