Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Final Series

5/4 Game 2

Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+87.9pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Kazunori Takizawa ron 18,000 from Geki Shimoishi, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +29.2.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Kazunori Takizawa● Geki Shimoishi● Masato Hagiwara● Kotaro Uchikawa0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Kazunori● Geki● Masato● Kotaro
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultGeki Shimoishi
1st-place chance
Kazunori Takizawa
1st-place chance
Masato Hagiwara
1st-place chance
Kotaro Uchikawa
1st-place chance
Geki Shimoishi
Expected pt change
Kazunori Takizawa
Expected pt change
Masato Hagiwara
Expected pt change
Kotaro Uchikawa
Expected pt change
East 1Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,00026%26%24%24%-15.7+23.3-4.9-2.7
East 2Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,00014%44%20%22%-9.6+27.4-10.1-7.7
East 2, 1 honbaKazunori Takizawa ron 18,000 from Geki Shimoishi7%69%11%13%-31.3+29.2+2.6-0.6
East 2, 2 honbaKotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Geki Shimoishi0%91%4%4%-13.8-2.5-3.5+19.7
East 3Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 2,7000%89%3%8%-1.7+0.8-4.2+5.1
East 4Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 3,9000%90%1%9%-1.3-4.2-3.2+8.7
East 4, 1 honbaMasato Hagiwara tsumo 8,0000%85%1%14%-4.1+0.4+15.4-11.7
South 1Kotaro Uchikawa ron 3,900 from Geki Shimoishi0%89%4%7%-5.1-0.3-4.6+10.0
South 2Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 3,0000%88%2%10%-1.1+4.4-0.5-2.8
South 2, 1 honbaExhaustive draw0%92%2%7%-0.8+4.0-2.2-1.0
South 2, 2 honbaExhaustive draw0%95%1%5%-1.0+3.3-1.7-0.7
South 2, 3 honbaKotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,0000%95%1%4%-2.0-6.6-3.6+12.2
South 3Masato Hagiwara ron 5,800 from Kotaro Uchikawa0%91%1%8%-0.1+0.9+7.0-7.8
South 3, 1 honbaKotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara0%93%2%5%+0.5+0.3-12.0+11.2
South 4Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa0%93%0%7%0.0+6.1+0.7-6.9

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)