Game · 2025-26 Finals
5/5 Game 1
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+54.3pt). The game was decided in South 4, 4 honba: Kurosawa Saki ron 7,700 from Nagai Kosuke, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +39.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Nagai Kosuke 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Nagai Kosuke Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nagai Kosuke tsumo 4,000 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -7.7 | -4.1 | +16.7 | -4.9 |
| East 2 | Draw | 19% | 21% | 37% | 23% | +0.3 | -5.4 | +5.9 | -0.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 19% | 17% | 43% | 21% | -2.8 | -1.8 | +6.4 | -1.8 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 5,200 from Nakada Kana | 17% | 15% | 48% | 20% | -0.6 | -15.8 | -1.7 | +18.1 |
| East 4 | Nakada Kana tsumo 4,000 | 16% | 8% | 46% | 31% | -4.1 | +9.5 | -0.4 | -4.9 |
| South 1 | Draw | 14% | 12% | 48% | 26% | +8.9 | -3.6 | -1.9 | -3.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 20% | 12% | 45% | 23% | +0.8 | +5.6 | -3.4 | -2.9 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Draw | 20% | 14% | 43% | 24% | +4.5 | -2.3 | -4.7 | +2.5 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Draw | 23% | 13% | 38% | 26% | +6.8 | -3.7 | +2.4 | -5.5 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 3,200 from Takamiya Mari | 28% | 12% | 39% | 21% | -25.5 | -4.1 | -2.0 | +31.6 |
| South 2 | Nakada Kana tsumo 12,000 | 9% | 9% | 34% | 49% | -14.9 | +40.9 | -13.3 | -12.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Nakada Kana tsumo 2,400 | 6% | 33% | 26% | 35% | -2.6 | +10.6 | -3.9 | -4.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 4% | 44% | 22% | 31% | -2.7 | -2.7 | -3.4 | +8.7 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Draw | 2% | 41% | 19% | 38% | +3.5 | +7.8 | -8.6 | -2.7 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 7,700 from Nagai Kosuke | 3% | 56% | 11% | 31% | +7.4 | -17.5 | -29.2 | +39.2 |
| South 4, 5 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 3,900 from Kurosawa Saki | 0% | 9% | 0% | 91% | +10.3 | -2.1 | -5.4 | -2.8 |