Game · 2025-26 Finals
5/5 Game 2
Date Arisa finished 1st (+78.4pt). The game was decided in South 3: Date Arisa tsumo 12,000, which moved Date Arisa's expected points by +50.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tojyo Rio ron 5,200 from Date Arisa | 27% | 22% | 24% | 26% | -4.7 | +2.4 | +15.1 | -12.8 |
| East 2 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 23% | 35% | 19% | -6.1 | -11.1 | +23.5 | -6.4 |
| East 3 | Tojyo Rio ron 2,900 from Date Arisa | 16% | 15% | 56% | 13% | -0.9 | -1.7 | +7.3 | -4.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio ron 12,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 14% | 12% | 64% | 11% | +1.2 | -27.7 | +25.2 | +1.2 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 2,000 | 7% | 2% | 86% | 5% | +4.7 | -0.4 | -1.6 | -2.7 |
| East 4 | Date Arisa tsumo 7,800 | 7% | 1% | 87% | 5% | -6.2 | -6.2 | -4.6 | +17.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 12,000 | 7% | 1% | 83% | 9% | +33.3 | -5.7 | -9.6 | -18.0 |
| South 1 | Date Arisa ron 12,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 26% | 1% | 69% | 4% | -6.1 | -16.4 | +1.7 | +20.8 |
| South 2 | Date Arisa ron 8,000 from Tojyo Rio | 18% | 0% | 73% | 9% | +2.6 | -1.3 | -20.7 | +19.4 |
| South 3 | Date Arisa tsumo 12,000 | 29% | 0% | 46% | 25% | -18.9 | -2.7 | -28.9 | +50.5 |
| South 4 | Date Arisa tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 0% | 3% | 93% | -5.3 | -3.9 | -5.5 | +14.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -6.6 | -1.1 | +10.2 | -2.5 |