Game · 2025-26 Finals
5/7 Game 1
Shimoishi Geki finished 1st (+55.6pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Shimoishi Geki tsumo 12,000, which moved Shimoishi Geki's expected points by +34.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shimoishi Geki 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Shimoishi Geki Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shimoishi Geki ron 7,700 from Sasaki Hisato | 25% | 24% | 25% | 25% | +19.7 | -18.6 | -0.4 | -0.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 39% | 13% | 24% | 24% | -1.5 | -0.5 | +21.6 | -19.6 |
| East 2 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 36% | 13% | 39% | 12% | -10.3 | +30.9 | -8.9 | -11.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Shimoishi Geki tsumo 12,000 | 29% | 30% | 32% | 9% | +34.0 | -17.5 | -11.8 | -4.7 |
| East 3 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 59% | 15% | 20% | 7% | -9.1 | +33.9 | -17.1 | -7.7 |
| East 4 | Shimoishi Geki tsumo 8,000 | 47% | 40% | 10% | 4% | +20.7 | -7.6 | -3.5 | -9.7 |
| South 1 | Draw | 70% | 25% | 5% | 1% | +2.3 | -5.3 | +4.3 | -1.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Shimoishi Geki | 74% | 19% | 6% | 1% | -19.6 | +6.0 | -1.4 | +15.0 |
| South 2 | Draw | 56% | 31% | 9% | 4% | +2.7 | -4.3 | +4.6 | -3.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 61% | 26% | 10% | 3% | -2.5 | -1.6 | +5.3 | -1.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 58% | 26% | 13% | 3% | -3.9 | -1.2 | +6.4 | -1.2 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 52% | 27% | 18% | 3% | -6.8 | +26.5 | -13.2 | -6.4 |
| South 4 | Draw | 34% | 62% | 3% | 2% | +0.3 | -3.0 | -0.4 | +3.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Shimoishi Geki tsumo 1,100 | 36% | 57% | 4% | 2% | +29.9 | -21.8 | -2.6 | -5.5 |