Game · 2025-26 Finals
5/7 Game 2
Honda Tomohiro finished 1st (+78.0pt). The game was decided in East 4: Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000, which moved Honda Tomohiro's expected points by +26.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Honda Tomohiro ron 2,600 from Katsumata Kenji | 25% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -4.5 | +0.2 | +11.0 | -6.7 |
| East 2 | Draw | 21% | 24% | 33% | 22% | +2.4 | +3.3 | -4.5 | -1.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 2,000 from Nakada Kana | 23% | 28% | 29% | 20% | +0.5 | -10.1 | +12.8 | -3.2 |
| East 3 | Katsumata Kenji ron 5,200 from Takamiya Mari | 23% | 20% | 39% | 18% | -17.6 | -1.9 | +1.3 | +18.2 |
| East 4 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 18% | 41% | 29% | -6.2 | -5.7 | +26.1 | -14.2 |
| South 1 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 1,500 | 7% | 11% | 70% | 13% | -5.3 | -2.4 | +1.7 | +6.1 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,600 from Nakada Kana | 3% | 9% | 73% | 15% | -1.7 | -8.6 | +4.4 | +5.8 |
| South 3 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 7,800 | 1% | 3% | 81% | 15% | -3.2 | -3.8 | +12.2 | -5.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 0% | 92% | 7% | -4.9 | -8.1 | +23.3 | -10.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -7.5 | -6.0 | -8.1 | +21.6 |
| South 4 | Takamiya Mari ron 3,900 from Honda Tomohiro | 0% | 0% | 97% | 3% | +15.7 | -11.5 | -2.2 | -2.0 |