Game · 2025-26 Final Series
5/7 Game 2
Tomohiro Honda finished 1st (+78.0pt). The game was decided in East 4: Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000, which moved Tomohiro Honda's expected points by +24.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Kana Nakada Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tomohiro Honda ron 2,600 from Kenji Katsumata | 25% | 25% | 26% | 24% | -4.3 | -0.7 | +10.3 | -5.3 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 25% | 33% | 21% | +1.2 | +5.7 | -4.0 | -2.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 2,000 from Kana Nakada | 22% | 28% | 30% | 20% | +1.1 | -16.7 | +16.0 | -0.4 |
| East 3 | Kenji Katsumata ron 5,200 from Mari Takamiya | 23% | 15% | 42% | 20% | -17.3 | +1.7 | -1.2 | +16.8 |
| East 4 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 16% | 41% | 30% | -5.8 | -5.8 | +24.6 | -13.1 |
| South 1 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 1,500 | 7% | 10% | 68% | 15% | -7.0 | -0.7 | +3.4 | +4.4 |
| South 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 1,600 from Kana Nakada | 2% | 9% | 74% | 14% | -1.3 | -8.6 | +3.4 | +6.5 |
| South 3 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 7,800 | 1% | 2% | 80% | 16% | -2.1 | -3.9 | +12.7 | -6.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 18,000 | 1% | 0% | 93% | 6% | -5.0 | -7.5 | +23.5 | -11.0 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | -8.2 | -6.6 | -8.2 | +23.0 |
| South 4 | Mari Takamiya ron 3,900 from Tomohiro Honda | 0% | 0% | 97% | 3% | +15.7 | -11.3 | -2.3 | -2.1 |